Notícias do Mercado

17 dezembro 2013
  • 16:40

    Oil: an overview of the market situation

    Prices for Brent crude dropped significantly today , while the price of WTI crude oil has remained almost unchanged, amid fears that the U.S. Federal Reserve may loosen its monetary stimulus program , as well as expectations that U.S. crude inventories declined for the previous weeks . Note that the reduction of QE will boost the dollar , which would put pressure on the dollar-denominated commodities, including oil, and indirectly curb investment flows into these markets.

    Falling oil prices also due to the fact that many traders begin to take profits on oil brand Brent, after yesterday prices rose 1.5 percent , amid continuing unrest in Libya , which may reduce the supply of oil .

    Trading volumes remain low , and are expected to remain so , as many hedge funds closed their positions and the market gradually starts to prepare for the holiday period .

    Meanwhile, adding that U.S. oil prices rose slightly on expectations that inventory data , which will be presented today and tomorrow, will show that oil stocks declined.

    Experts expect that commercial crude oil inventories fell by an average 3.6 million barrels last week due to lower imports.

    It is also worth noting that a small influence on the bidding had U.S. data , which showed that in December housing market index from NAHB rose 4 points to 58 . Economists had expected the index to rise to the level of only 55 points .

    All three components of the index improved their values ​​, led by growth by 6 points to 64 in the current conditions of sales. Smaller increase was recorded in sales expectations component ( 2 to 64 ) and the traffic of potential buyers ( 3 to 44 ) . In terms of regions , the Northeast index fell , but rose in other areas .

    Cost January futures for U.S. light crude oil WTI (Light Sweet Crude Oil) fell $ 0.08 - to $ 97.40 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

    January futures price for North Sea Brent crude oil mixture increased by $ 1.91 to $ 108.54 a barrel on the London exchange ICE Futures Europe.

  • 16:20

    Gold: an overview of the market situation

    Gold prices fell significantly today , while offsetting the growth, which was celebrated during yesterday's session , due to the expectations of the Fed meeting announcement . Experts note that the forthcoming comments will help to better understand the mindset of politicians, and their opinions regarding the asset purchase program . I also add that it would be the last meeting for Fed chairman Bernanke in this post - in the next month, he will give his powers Janet Yellen . Markets expect the Fed may decide to small decrease in monthly program to purchase assets , which currently stands at $ 85 billion per month. Nevertheless , the probability of this step is not high, despite the previously submitted data that were better than expected . Most likely , the decision to decrease the volume of the program will be made in the next year , namely, at the March meeting. Add that expectations regarding what the Fed will turn its program to stimulate the economy , which contributed to the growth in gold prices , putting pressure on interest rates and causes inflation fears , which in turn reduced the cost of precious metals by 25 percent since the beginning of this year.

    Consumers of physical gold in Asia is also in no hurry to make new purchases in anticipation of further price reductions . In India, the volume of purchases remained modest due to lack of stock. Recall that earlier this year the Indian government has introduced a record import duty on gold at 10 per cent in an attempt to curb the growing trade deficit.

    Meanwhile , we note that investment demand for physical gold bullion also remains lackluster - stocks in SPDR Gold Shares fell yesterday by 8.7 tonnes to 818.9 tonnes , while fixing its largest daily outflow of nearly two months .

    The course of today's trading also affected the U.S. data , which showed that U.S. consumer prices unchanged in November after falling in the previous month , becoming the latest sign of weak inflation, which may affect the decision of the Federal Reserve over the decline of quantitative easing. But the basic prices , which exclude volatile food and energy prices , rose 0.2 %.

    Compared with the previous year as a whole , consumer prices rose by 1.2 %, while core prices rose 1.7% for the period. Nevertheless , both figures lower than the annual inflation target of 2% Fed . Economists forecast that overall prices and core prices every 0.1% increase in October.

    Cost February gold futures on the COMEX today dropped to $ 1229.70 per ounce.

  • 06:24

    Commodities. Daily history for Dec 16’2013:

    Gold $1,241.8 +6.10 +0.49%

    Oil $97.27 +0.67 +0.69%

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