(pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,1095 +0,35%

GBP/USD $1,2301 +0,48%

USD/CHF Chf0,973 -0,21%

USD/JPY Y103,33 -0,70%

EUR/JPY Y114,64 -0,38%

GBP/JPY Y127,08 -0,24%

AUD/USD $0,7656 +0,01%

NZD/USD $0,7285 +1,08%

USD/CAD C$1,3385 0,00%

00:30 Australia Trade Balance September -2.01 -1.7

01:45 China Markit/Caixin Services PMI October 52 52.5

09:00 Eurozone ECB Economic Bulletin

09:30 United Kingdom Purchasing Manager Index Services October 52.6 52.4

10:00 Eurozone Unemployment Rate September 10.1% 10%

12:00 United Kingdom Bank of England Minutes

12:00 United Kingdom BoE Interest Rate Decision 0.25% 0.25%

12:00 United Kingdom Asset Purchase Facility 435 435

12:00 United Kingdom BOE Inflation Letter

12:30 United Kingdom BOE Gov Mark Carney Speaks

12:30 U.S. Continuing Jobless Claims 2039 2044

12:30 U.S. Unit Labor Costs, q/q (Preliminary) Quarter III 4.3% 1.3%

12:30 U.S. Nonfarm Productivity, q/q (Preliminary) Quarter III -0.6% 2%

12:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims 258 258

13:45 U.S. Services PMI (Finally) October 52.3 54.8

14:00 U.S. Factory Orders September 0.2% 0.2%

14:00 U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing October 57.1 56

20:55 United Kingdom BOE Deputy Governor for Financial Stability Jon Cunliffe speaks

"The sharp fall in USDCHF over the past 24 hours has encouraged us to take profit on our USDCHF put spread recommendation from last week for a 1.7% gain. We recommended the trade noting a rapid increase in USD long positioning and pricing for a Fed December hike.

The USD correction could have further to run but risk reward favours covering this trade at this time. Increased pre-election financial market volatility has led rates markets to pare back pricing for a December rate hike, even as the manufacturing ISM improved in line with expectations. We have been wary heading into a period of elevated data, Fed and election-related uncertainty.

Ahead today, we expect the statement following the FOMC meeting to continue to steer markets towards pricing a December rate hike. However, with a hike in December still nearly 70% priced in, we would not expect cautious and data-contingent Fed guidance to push rate differentials much further in the dollar's favour. We look for the USD to make a more durable recovery later in November as election uncertainty passes and data continues to signal scope for renewed tightening".

Copyright © 2016 BNP Paribas™, eFXnews™

U.S. commercial crude oil inventories (excluding those in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve) increased by 14.4 million barrels from the previous week. At 482.6 million barrels, U.S. crude oil inventories are at the upper limit of the average range for this time of year.

Total motor gasoline inventories decreased by 2.2 million barrels last week, but are well above the upper limit of the average range. Both finished gasoline inventories and blending components inventories decreased last week.

Distillate fuel inventories decreased by 1.8 million barrels last week but are well above the upper limit of the average range for this time of year. Propane/propylene inventories rose 0.3 million barrels last week and are near the upper limit of the average range. Total commercial petroleum inventories increased by 9.0 million barrels last week.

EUR/USD 1.0900 (EUR 2.17bln) 1.0950 (481m) 1.1000 (1.25bln)

USD/JPY 102.00 (285m) 103.28 (300m) 103.50 (446m) 104.00 (271m), 104.50 (426m) 105.00 (222m)

GBP/USD 1.2185 (GBP 1.26bln) 1.2360 (850m) 1.2440 (201m)

AUD/USD 0.7500 (AUD 600m) 0.7550 (241m) 0.7570 (201m), 0.7620-25 (300m) 0.7635 (241m) 0.7650 (1.5bln) 0.7670-75 (354m) 0.7800 (1.12bln)

USD/CAD 1.3300 (USD 750m) 1.3325 (230m) 1.3400 (365m)

NZD/USD 0.7150 (NZD 249m) 0.7200 (300m)

AUD/JPY 79.85 (AUD 726m)

USD/CNY 6.7500 (USD 1.15bln) 6.7800 (300m)

EUR/USD

Offers 1.1100 1.1120 1.1140 1.1155-60 1.1180 1.1200

Bids 1.1050 1.1030 1.1000 1.0980 1.0950 1.0935 1.0900

GBP/USD

Offers 1.2350 1.2380 1.2400 1.2430 1.2450 1.2500

Bids 1.2230 1.2200 1.2185 1.2170 1. 1.2150 1.2130 1.2100 1.2080-85 1.2050 1.2000

EUR/GBP

Offers 0.9050 0.9070 0.9100 0.9125-30 0.9150

Bids 0.9025-30 0.9000 0.8980-85 0.8945-500.8920 0.8900

EUR/JPY

Offers 115.00 115.20-25 115.50 115.75-80 116.00

Bids 114.50 114.30 114.00 113.85 113.50 113.00

USD/JPY

Offers 103.85 104.00 104.20 104.50 104.75 105.00 105.25 105.50

Bids 103.45-50 103.30 103.00 102.80-85 102.50 102.20 102.00

AUD/USD

Offers 0.7650 0.7670-75 0.7700-10 0.7730 0.7750 0.7780 0.7800

Bids 0.7620 0.7600 0.7580 0.7550 0.7500 0.7480 0.7450

Reuters has reported that tomorrow at 10:00 GMT Britain's High Court will announce the verdict on who should initiate a formal process of exit from the European Union - British lawmakers or government.

Private sector employment increased by 147,000 jobs from September to October according to the October ADP National Employment Report.

"Job growth appears to be shifting from small to large companies due to the lessening impact the globaleconomic environment had on large companies earlier in the year," said Ahu Yildirmaz, vice president and head of the ADP Research Institute. "This is also true because large companies often have the resources to attract workers with better pay and benefit packages

The October ADP National Employment Report is the first installment of this monthly report that includes the 10 super sectors outlined by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Prior value revised up aroung 50K jobs.

UK construction companies recorded a sustained expansion of overall business activity in October, led by another solid increase in residential work. New order volumes also picked up across the construction sector, but the rate of growth eased since September and remained weaker than seen prior to this summer. This contributed to a drop in business confidence regarding the year-ahead growth outlook, with the latest reading the secondlowest since May 2013. At the same time, input costs rose at one of the fastest rates seen over the past five years, which survey respondents widely linked to the weaker pound.

At 52.6 in October, the seasonally adjusted Markit/CIPS UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index edged up from 52.3 in September and remained above the 50.0 nochange threshold for the second month running.

The latest reading pointed to the fastest upturn in activity since March, although the rate of growth was only modest and still much softer than the average since the recovery began three-and-a-half years ago (57.3).

The rate of expansion of the eurozone manufacturing sector gathered momentum at the start of the final quarter. Growth of production, new orders, new export orders and employment all accelerated, while price pressures showed further signs of increasing.

The final Markit Eurozone Manufacturing PMI rose to a 33-month high of 53.5 in October, up from 52.6 in September and the earlier flash estimate of 53.3. This signalled the steepest rate of improvement in operating conditions since January 2014.

The Netherlands surged to the top of the Manufacturing PMI rankings in October, with growth accelerating to a 15-month peak. Germany was also a top performer, expanding at the quickest pace in almost three years.

The upturn in Germany's goods-producing sector that started almost two years ago continued in October. This was highlighted by the seasonally adjusted final Markit/BME Germany Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) - a singlefigure snapshot of the performance of the manufacturing economy - posting above the neutral 50.0 threshold.

At 55.0 up from September's 54.3, the PMI was indicative of the strongest improvement in manufacturers' operating conditions since the beginning of 2014.

The health of the Spanish manufacturing sector improved at a stronger rate during October amid faster rises in output and new orders. Firms took on extra staff as a result and continued to increase their input buying. Meanwhile, the rate of input cost inflation picked up and output prices were raised accordingly.

The headline Markit Spain Manufacturing PMI is a composite single-figure indicator of manufacturing performance. It is derived from indicators for new orders, output, employment, suppliers' delivery times and stocks of purchases. Any figure greater than 50.0 indicates overall improvement of the sector.

At 53.3 in October, the PMI was up from the reading of 52.3 in September to signal a stronger improvement in operating conditions in the Spanish manufacturing sector. The health of the sector has now strengthened in each of the past 35 months, with the latest improvement the greatest since April.

EUR/USD 1.0900 (EUR 2.17bln) 1.0950 (481m) 1.1000 (1.25bln)

USD/JPY 102.00 (285m) 103.28 (300m) 103.50 (446m) 104.00 (271m), 104.50 (426m) 105.00 (222m)

GBP/USD 1.2185 (GBP 1.26bln) 1.2360 (850m) 1.2440 (201m)

AUD/USD 0.7500 (AUD 600m) 0.7550 (241m) 0.7570 (201m), 0.7620-25 (300m) 0.7635 (241m) 0.7650 (1.5bln) 0.7670-75 (354m) 0.7800 (1.12bln)

USD/CAD 1.3300 (USD 750m) 1.3325 (230m) 1.3400 (365m)

NZD/USD 0.7150 (NZD 249m) 0.7200 (300m)

AUD/JPY 79.85 (AUD 726m)

USD/CNY 6.7500 (USD 1.15bln) 6.7800 (300m)

Romania's producer prices continued to decline in September, though at a slower pace than in the previous month, figures from the National Institute of Statistics showed Wednesday.

According to rttnews, producer prices fell 1.5 percent year-over-year in September, following a 1.9 percent decrease in August. The measure has been falling since October 2014.

Domestic market prices dipped 1.8 percent annually in September and prices in the foreign market went down by 1.0 percent.

Month-on-month, producer prices rose 0.2 percent from August, when it dropped by 0.3 percent.

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1170 (2920)

$1.1136 (4472)

$1.1112 (2167)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1067

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1020 (3870)

$1.0985 (6270)

$1.0943 (4542)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date November, 4 is 45264 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1100 (4472);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date November, 4 is 45466 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1000 (6270);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.00 versus 1.08 from the previous trading day according to data from November, 1

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.2501 (1490)

$1.2402 (1414)

$1.2305 (1972)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.2251

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2196 (1503)

$1.2098 (2125)

$1.1999 (1060)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date November, 4 is 33356 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2800 (1973);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date November, 4 is 32652 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2100 (2125);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.98 versus 0.98 from the previous trading day according to data from November, 1

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

• At 10:30 GMT Germany will hold an auction of 10-year bonds

• At 17:15 GMT, First Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada, Carolyn Wilkins will deliver a speech

• At 18:00 GMT FOMC decision on interest rate

• At 18:00 GMT FOMC accompanying statement

• Japan celebrates Culture Day

"The November 2nd FOMC meeting should be considered a placeholder meeting.

If the Fed is successful, the meeting will likely come and go without much action in the markets. We think the Fed's objective is to signal that a hike is highly likely in December but that the path thereafter will be extraordinarily shallow. The market is pricing in a 72% chance of a December hike, which the Fed is likely to perceive as appropriate. Without a press conference or the release of the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), the main form of communication is the statement.

There are two areas of focus: 1) statement of risks and 2) forward policy guidance.

We think the Fed will tweak both to show that Fed officials have become incrementally more comfortable with a nearterm hike than they were in the September meeting. One possibility is to change the risks statement to read "near-term risks to the outlook are roughly balanced", which would be a change from "near-term risks to the outlook appear roughly balanced". If the Fed wanted to go a step further, they could remove the word "roughly", but we think they will wait to do so until they actually deliver the hike in December. There are a number of potential changes that the Fed can make to the forward policy guidance statement. One possibility is to add the word "further" in front of strengthened to read: "the case for an increase in the federal funds rate has further strengthened". We also suspect that the Fed might want to remove the phrase "for the time being" since they are getting closer to delivering a hike. Importantly, we do not think they will turn to calendar guidance and explicitly mention that a hike is possible at the next meeting. The FOMC took this approach last October to signal a hike in December, but at the time the markets were only pricing in a 36% probability of a December hike. The Fed therefore likely felt it was prudent to take a more aggressive step toward calendar guidance in order to set market expectations. In our view, the Fed does not want to set a precedent of having to enact such strong signaling and will therefore avoid putting such language in the statement.

USD: a million risks but the Fed ain't one...

A 'placeholder' status of the November meeting means it is unlikely to have a lasting impact on the dollar. A more explicit Fed signal of a December hike at the meeting would support but not accelerate the near 3% move in the DXY since the September meeting, in our view. With the market already pricing over a 70% chance of a December hike, we are cautious on chasing the USD move from here.

Additionally, a number of risks between now and the meeting, including the US election, Italian Referendum, and the European Central Bank's December meeting area also a concern. If anything we see risks of some dollar consolidation near-term.

However, similar to the Fed's December 2015, we see risks skewed towards further USD strength in the aftermath of a December hike with the market pricing less than one additional hike by end 2017, too low relative to our expectation for June and December hikes. Furthermore, if the new administration pursues a more aggressive fiscal expansion, this would certainly tilt the balance of risks to more hikes, supporting the USD".

Copyright © 2016 BofAML, eFXnews™

The value of total building approved rose 2.1 per cent in September 2016, in trend terms, and has risen for 10 months, according to data released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) today.

The result was driven by a 6.0 per cent rise in the value of non-residential building, while residential building fell 0.1 per cent.

The number of dwellings approved fell 0.6 per cent in September, in trend terms, and has fallen for four months.

"After fifteen successive monthly increases UK house prices were unchanged in October (after taking account of seasonal factors). As a result, the annual rate of house price growth slowed to 4.6%, from 5.3% in September, though this is still in line with the growth rates prevailing since early 2015.

Measures of housing market activity remain fairly subdued, with the number of residential property transactions c10% below the levels recorded in the same period of 2015 in recent months. However, this weakness may still in part reflect the after-effects of the introduction stamp duty on second homes introduced in April, where buyers brought forward transactions to Q1 to avoid additional stamp duty liabilities (see chart below). Policy changes impacting the Buy to Let market may also be playing a role in dampening activity"- commenting on the figures, Robert Gardner, Nationwide's Chief Economist,.

The unemployment rate fell to 4.9 percent in the September 2016 quarter (from a revised 5.0 percent in the previous quarter), Statistics New Zealand said today. This is the lowest unemployment rate since the December 2008 quarter. There were 3,000 fewer people unemployed than in the June 2016 quarter and 10,000 fewer over the year.

"The number of people employed in New Zealand was up 35,000, or 1.4 percent, in the September 2016 quarter," labour and income statistics manager Mark Gordon said. "This strong growth in employment, coupled with fewer unemployed people, pushed the unemployment rate below 5.0 percent for the first time in nearly eight years."

The working-age population increased by 24,000 people (0.7 percent) over the quarter, to reach 3,739,000.

"The increase in the number of people employed again exceeded population growth over the latest quarter. This resulted in the employment rate increasing 0.5 percentage points, so currently 66.7 percent of the working-age population is in some form of employment," Mr Gordon said.