Major US stock indices fell slightly on Friday, as investors held back from taking risky deals on the eve of the first round of the presidential elections in France.
In addition, as it became known today, adjusted for seasonality, the preliminary composite PMI release index from Markit in the US fell to 52.7 in April, compared to 53.0 in March, signaling a further slowdown in production growth in the private sector. The latest reading pointed to the weakest growth since September 2016. The modest growth in the private sector reflected a loss of momentum in the economy of the services sector (preliminary index was 52.5 in April), and manufacturing (preliminary index was 53.4).
At the same time, home sales in the secondary market in the US increased more than expected in March, to the highest level in the last ten years, as more homes appeared on the market and they were quickly bought up by consumers. The National Association of Realtors said on Friday that the volume of home sales in the secondary market grew by 4.4 percent and, subject to seasonal adjustment, reached 5.71 million units last month. Economists forecast sales growth of 2.5% to 5.60 million units in March.
Most components of the DOW index closed in the red (16 of 30). More shares fell shares Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ, -2.33%). The leader of growth was shares of Microsoft Corporation (MSFT, + 1.47%).
Most sectors of the S & P index showed a decline. The conglomerate sector fell most of all (-0.7%). The leader of growth was the utilities sector (+ 0.6%).
At closing:
Dow -0.15% 20.547.76 -30.95
Nasdaq -0.11% 5,910.52 -6.26
S & P -0.30% 2,348.70 -7.14
Existing-home sales took off in March to their highest pace in over 10 years, and severe supply shortages resulted in the typical home coming off the market significantly faster than in February and a year ago, according to the National Association of Realtors. Only the West saw a decline in sales activity in March.
Total existing-home sales, which are completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, ascended 4.4 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.71 million in March from a downwardly revised 5.47 million in February. March's sales pace is 5.9 percent above a year ago and surpasses January as the strongest month of sales since February 2007 (5.79 million).
EURUSD: 1.0600 (EUR 1.2bln) 1.0680 (803m) 1.0700-10 (1.7bln) 1.0725 (860m) 1.0750 (531m) 1.0780 (450m) 1.0800 (620m)
USDJPY: 108.00 (USD 1.1bln) 108.30 (388m) 108.50 (544m) 109.00 (651m) 109.15-25 (530M) 110.00 (782m) 110.25 (540m)
GBPUSD 1.2650 (GBP 430m) 1.2675 (350m) 1.2745-50 (211m) 1.2900-10 (365m)
EURGBP: 0.8465 (EUR 401m)
USDCHF 0.9925 (USD 250m)
AUDUSD 0.7500 (192m) 0.7515-25 (528m) 0.7570 (279m)
USDCAD: 1.3340-50 (332m) 1.3380-90 (200m) 1.3400 (320m) 1.3500 (393m) 1.3540 (605m)
NZDUSD: 0.6950-60 (NZD 272m) 0.7025 (357m)
Would not be surprised if cpi inflation reaches 3 pct in late 2017 or early 2018, above BoE feb forecasts
Prospective inflation pressure does not imply UK will face persistently high inflation, MPC has not gone soft
Current monetary policy stance is "clearly accommodative", would provide "considerable stimulus" even after modest rate rise
U.S. stock-index rose slightly as, despite positive earnings reports from Visa (V), General Electric (GE) and Honeywell (HON), investors preferred not to make big bets ahead of the first round of the French presidential elections over the weekend.
Stocks:
Nikkei 18,620.75 +190.26 +1.03%
Hang Seng 24,042.02 -14.96 -0.06%
Shanghai 3,173.15 +1.05 +0.03%
FTSE 7,123.83 +5.29 +0.07%
CAC 5,068.41 -9.50 -0.19%
DAX 12,080.12 +52.80 +0.44%
Crude $50.71 (0.00%)
Gold $1,284.10 (+0.02%)
(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)
ALCOA INC. | AA | 32.43 | 0.39(1.22%) | 2703 |
Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ | AMZN | 904.5 | 2.44(0.27%) | 3482 |
Apple Inc. | AAPL | 142.51 | 0.07(0.05%) | 26431 |
Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE | ABX | 19.27 | 0.07(0.36%) | 21119 |
Boeing Co | BA | 179.6 | 0.30(0.17%) | 1200 |
Citigroup Inc., NYSE | C | 58.5 | 0.09(0.15%) | 7234 |
Exxon Mobil Corp | XOM | 81.1 | 0.09(0.11%) | 2079 |
Facebook, Inc. | FB | 143.93 | 0.13(0.09%) | 15378 |
Ford Motor Co. | F | 11.49 | 0.02(0.17%) | 18370 |
Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE | FCX | 12.78 | 0.27(2.16%) | 112556 |
General Electric Co | GE | 30.57 | 0.30(0.99%) | 1803892 |
General Motors Company, NYSE | GM | 34.15 | 0.05(0.15%) | 1677 |
Goldman Sachs | GS | 218.5 | 0.44(0.20%) | 2065 |
Google Inc. | GOOG | 841.1 | -0.55(-0.07%) | 1114 |
HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL INC. | HON | 127.6 | 3.83(3.09%) | 11221 |
International Business Machines Co... | IBM | 162.75 | 0.45(0.28%) | 950 |
Johnson & Johnson | JNJ | 122 | 0.13(0.11%) | 235 |
JPMorgan Chase and Co | JPM | 85.75 | 0.20(0.23%) | 1874 |
McDonald's Corp | MCD | 133.64 | 0.37(0.28%) | 164 |
Microsoft Corp | MSFT | 65.55 | 0.05(0.08%) | 491 |
Pfizer Inc | PFE | 33.7 | -0.04(-0.12%) | 361 |
Procter & Gamble Co | PG | 89.3 | -0.03(-0.03%) | 331 |
Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ | SBUX | 60.28 | 0.20(0.33%) | 4738 |
Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ | TSLA | 302.48 | -0.03(-0.01%) | 19200 |
The Coca-Cola Co | KO | 43.04 | -0.05(-0.12%) | 936 |
Twitter, Inc., NYSE | TWTR | 14.67 | 0.02(0.14%) | 8273 |
UnitedHealth Group Inc | UNH | 171.8 | 0.26(0.15%) | 301 |
Verizon Communications Inc | VZ | 48.28 | -0.13(-0.27%) | 16306 |
Visa | V | 93.21 | 2.06(2.26%) | 93599 |
Wal-Mart Stores Inc | WMT | 74.73 | -0.07(-0.09%) | 153 |
Walt Disney Co | DIS | 114.81 | 0.02(0.02%) | 2213 |
Yahoo! Inc., NASDAQ | YHOO | 47.68 | 0.01(0.02%) | 1058 |
Yandex N.V., NASDAQ | YNDX | 23.6 | 0.29(1.24%) | 5600 |
Upgrades:
Downgrades:
Verizon (VZ) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Argus
Other:
McDonald's (MCD) initiated with an Outperform at BMO Capital
McDonald's (MCD) target raised to $140 from $136 at Telsey Advisory Group
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 1.6% on a year-over-year basis in March, following a 2.0% gain in February.
Excluding food and energy, the CPI was up 1.7% year over year in March, after posting a 2.0% increase in February.
Prices were up in five of the eight major components in the 12 months to March, with the transportation and shelter indexes contributing the most to the year-over-year rise in the CPI. The food index and the clothing and footwear index declined year over year, while the price index for household operations, furnishings and equipment was unchanged.
Transportation costs rose 4.6% over the 12-month period ending in March, after increasing 6.6% in February. The increase in transportation costs, as well as the deceleration in the growth of these prices compared with the previous month, was led by the gasoline index. On a year-over-year basis, gasoline prices rose 15.2% in March, following a 23.1% increase in February. The purchase of passenger vehicles index was up 2.1% in the 12 months to March, following a gain of 3.6% in February
Honeywell (HON) reported Q1 FY 2017 earnings of $1.66 per share (versus $1.53 in Q1 FY 2016), beating analysts' consensus estimate of $1.64.
The company's quarterly revenues amounted to $9.492 bln (-0.3% y/y), beating analysts' consensus estimate of $9.329 bln.
The company also issued in-line guidance for FY 2017, projecting EPS of $6.90-7.10 versus beating analysts' consensus estimate of $7.03.
HON rose to $127.86 (+3.30%) in pre-market trading.
General Electric (GE) reported Q1 FY 2017 earnings of $0.21 per share (versus $0.21 in Q1 FY 2016), beating analysts' consensus estimate of $0.17.
The company's quarterly revenues amounted to $27.660 bln (-0.7% y/y), beating analysts' consensus estimate of $26.371 bln.
The company also reaffirmed guidance for FY 2017, projecting EPS of $1.60-1.70 versus analysts' consensus estimate of $1.63.
GE
rose to $30.45 (+0.59%) in pre-market trading.
EUR/USD
Offers: 1.0750-55 1.0770-75 1.0800 1.0830 1.0850
Bids: 1.0720 1.0700 1.0680-85 1.0650 1.0635 1.0620 1.0600
GBP/USD
Offers: 1.2850 1.2880 1.2900 1.2920 1.2950-60 1.2975 1.3000
Bids: 1.2800 1.2770-75 1.2760 1.2750 1.2720 1.2700 1.2680 1.2650
EUR/JPY
Offers: 117.30 117.50 117.80 118.00 118.50
Bids: 117.00 116.80 116.50 116.30 116.00 115.80-85 115.50
EUR/GBP
Offers: 0.8380-85 0.8400 0.8425-30 0.8445-50 0.8480 0.8500-05
Bids: 0.8360 0.8350 0.8335 0.8320 0.8300 0.8280 0.8260 0.8200
USD/JPY
Offers: 109.50 109.80 110.00 110.30 110.50 110.80 111.00
Bids: 109.00 108.70 108.50108.30 108.00 107.80 107.50 107.00
AUD/USD
Offers: 0.7550 0.7580 0.7600 0.7620 0.7650
Bids: 0.7520-25 0.7500 0.7480-85 0.7465 0.7450
Visa (V) reported Q2 FY 2017 earnings of $0.86 per share (versus $0.68 in Q2 FY 2016), beating analysts' consensus estimate of $0.79.
The company's quarterly revenues amounted to $4.477 bln (+23.5% y/y), beating analysts' consensus estimate of $4.291 bln.
The company also reported its Board authorized a new $5.0 billion class A common stock share repurchase program.
V rose to $93.60 (+2.69%) in pre-market trading.
will renegotiate Schengen Treaty
EURUSD: 1.0600 (EUR 1.2bln) 1.0680 (803m) 1.0700-10 (1.7bln) 1.0725 (860m) 1.0750 (531m) 1.0780 (450m) 1.0800 (620m)
USDJPY: 108.00 (USD 1.1bln) 108.30 (388m) 108.50 (544m) 109.00 (651m) 109.15-25 (530M) 110.00 (782m) 110.25 (540m)
GBPUSD 1.2650 (GBP 430m) 1.2675 (350m) 1.2745-50 (211m) 1.2900-10 (365m)
EURGBP: 0.8465 (EUR 401m)
USDCHF 0.9925 (USD 250m)
AUDUSD 0.7500 (192m) 0.7515-25 (528m) 0.7570 (279m)
USDCAD: 1.3340-50 (332m) 1.3380-90 (200m) 1.3400 (320m) 1.3500 (393m) 1.3540 (605m)
NZDUSD: 0.6950-60 (NZD 272m) 0.7025 (357m)
The 3 months to March shows a decrease of 1.4%; the third consecutive decrease for the underlying 3 month on 3 month pattern.
Looking at the quarterly movement, the 3 months to March 2017 (Quarter 1) is the first quarterly decline since 2013 (Quarter 4).
In March 2017, the quantity bought in the retail industry is estimated to have increased by 1.7% compared with March 2016 and decreased by 1.8% compared with February 2017; decreases are seen across the four main store types.
Average store prices (including fuel) increased by 3.3% on the year, the largest growth since March 2012; the largest contribution came from petrol stations, where year-on-year average prices rose by 16.4%.
Online sales (excluding automotive fuel) increased year-on-year by 19.5% and by 0.5% on the month, accounting for approximately 15.5% of all retail spending.
The current account of the euro area recorded a surplus of €37.9 billion in February 2017. This reflected surpluses for goods (€29.5 billion), services (€9.5 billion) and primary income (€4.2 billion), which were partly offset by a deficit for secondary income (€5.4 billion).
The 12-month cumulated current account for the period ending in February 2017 recorded a surplus of €360.2 billion (3.4% of euro area GDP), compared with one of €341.2 billion (3.2% of euro area GDP) for the 12 months to February 2016 (see Table 1 and Chart 1). This was due to increases in the surpluses for goods (from €344.0 billion to €368.6 billion) and primary income (from €53.7 billion to €79.5 billion). These were partly offset by a decrease in the surplus of services (from €70.7 billion to €49.5 billion) and an increase in the deficit for secondary income (from €127.1 billion to €137.4 billion).
Eurozone economic growth hit a fresh six-year high in April, according to PMI survey data. Job creation also rose to the highest for almost a decade as firms boosted operating capacity in line with buoyant demand and widespread optimism about future prospects. Price pressures meanwhile remained among the strongest seen over the past six years.
The Markit Eurozone PMI rose to 56.7 in April, according to the preliminary 'flash' estimate (based on approximately 85% of final replies). Up from 56.4 in March, the latest reading was the highest since April 2011.
German economic growth remained strong at the start of the second quarter of 2017, despite slower increases in both manufacturing output and services activity compared with the highs seen in March. The April PMI survey data also registered slightly softer rates of new business expansion and job creation, plus a slight moderation in price pressures.
The Markit Flash Germany Composite Output Index registered 56.3 in April, down from March's near six-year high of 57.1. This signalled the first easing in growth of private sector business activity since the start of the year, but still the secondfastest rate of expansion in over three years. The latest data extended the current sequence of continuous growth to four years.
April's flash France PMI data pointed to a tenth consecutive month of private sector growth in France. The Markit Flash France Composite Output Index, based on around 85% of normal monthly survey replies, registered 57.4, compared to March's reading of 56.8.
The latest figure was indicative of the sharpest rate of growth in almost six years. In the service sector, activity increased for the tenth time in as many months. Moreover, the rate of expansion accelerated to a 71-month high and was sharp overall. Manufacturing output also continued to rise markedly, and at the fastest pace in six years.
EUR/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.0846 (1042)
$1.0808 (466)
$1.0785 (177)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.0710
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.0650 (644)
$1.0603 (862)
$1.0544 (2606)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 9 is 61998 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1100 (5063);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date June, 9 is 64139 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0400 (5181);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.03 versus 1.03 from the previous trading day according to data from April, 20
GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.3108 (1934)
$1.3011 (1333)
$1.2915 (1069)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.2803
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.2688 (219)
$1.2591 (1195)
$1.2494 (4602)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 9 is 21009 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2800 (2241);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date June, 9 is 25897 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2500 (4602);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.23 versus 1.30 from the previous trading day according to data from April, 20
* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.
Flash Japan Manufacturing PMI up to 2-month high of 52.8 in April (52.4 in March).
Flash Manufacturing Output Index at 53.6 (53.0 in March). Marked increase in production signalled.
Stronger growth in new export orders recorded.
Commenting on the Japanese Manufacturing PMI survey data, Paul Smith, Senior Economist at IHS Markit, which compiles the survey, said: "April's PMI data signalled continued healthy growth of Japan's manufacturing sector, and the latest results were again consistent with production rising at a quarterly rate of around 2%. "Driven by firmer external demand, the sector was underpinned by a stronger export performance in April, with new export orders rising at a rate amongst the best seen in the past three years. Companies are also adding to their workforces at a rate that matched January's 34- month peak, but price pressures continue to mount with input costs and output charges rising at stronger rates."
French stocks leapt by the most in seven weeks Thursday, ending higher as gains for Publicis Groupe SA and Pernod Ricard SA helped relieve pressure from concerns over the outcome of Sunday's first-round presidential election vote. The pan-European index was held back by declines in the oil and gas and utility sectors, but the industrial, financial and technology groups printed gains.
The stock market ended with solid gains Thursday, with the Nasdaq closing at a record, as investors welcomed a deluge of stronger-than-expected corporate earnings reports and economic data. Comments by Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, who said that President Donald Trump's tax overhaul plans aren't linked to the outcome of a health care bill, also bolstered sentiment, analysts said.
Stock markets across Asia were higher early Friday, catching an updraft from overnight gains in the U.S. as investors positioned themselves ahead of the start of the French presidential election. Markets were calm following a suspected terrorist attack in Paris overnight that left at least one police officer dead, three days before the election.