(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

07:00 Germany Gfk Consumer Confidence Survey April 9.5 9.5

09:00 Eurozone ECB Economic Bulletin

09:30 United Kingdom BBA Mortgage Approvals February 47.5

09:30 United Kingdom Retail Sales (MoM) February 2.3% -0.7%

09:30 United Kingdom Retail Sales (YoY) February 5.2% 3.8%

10:15 Eurozone Targeted LTRO 18.3 24.3

11:00 United Kingdom CBI retail sales volume balance March 10 15

12:15 U.S. FOMC Member James Bullard Speaks

12:30 U.S. Continuing Jobless Claims March 2235 2230

12:30 U.S. Durable Goods Orders February 4.9% -2.9%

12:30 U.S. Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation February 1.8% -0.2%

12:30 U.S. Durable goods orders ex defense February 4.5%

12:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims March 265 268

13:00 U.S. Housing Price Index, m/m January 0.4%

13:45 U.S. Services PMI (Preliminary) March 49.7

23:30 Japan Tokyo Consumer Price Index, y/y March 0.1% 0%

23:30 Japan Tokyo CPI ex Fresh Food, y/y March -0.1% -0.2%

23:30 Japan National Consumer Price Index, y/y February 0% 0%

23:30 Japan National CPI Ex-Fresh Food, y/y February 0% 0.1%

The US dollar rose modestly against the euro, updating yesterday's high, helped by comments Fed officials about a possible rate hike next month. Today the head of the St. Louis Fed Bullard said that there may be arguments in favor of a rate hike in April. "Question rate hike at the April meeting is not removed from the agenda at the same time is unreasonable to raise rates if inflation expectations will subside." - He added. Recall, Scatter the Fed indicates that the end of the year maybe two rate hikes. However, Bullard said that the regulator does not enter into commitments in this regard, and should respond to the economic data from meeting to meeting. Earlier the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Patrick Harker noted that there is good reason to continue raising rates, and added that he would like to see three raises before the end of the year. Meanwhile, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans said that he expects two per cent increase on loans until the end of the year if the economy will maintain a given rate. Also recall that yesterday the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Dennis Lockhart signaled that the Fed may raise interest rates in April.

In addition, a positive impact on the dollar have data on the housing market. The Commerce Department reported that sales of new buildings were restored in February, became another sign of continuing, albeit restrained, the momentum in the housing market. Sales of new buildings reached a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 512 000. This was the highest since December and was slightly above economists' forecast of 510 000. The February figure was 2% higher than in January, but 6.1% lower than a year ago. But the rate in February 2015 was unusual; 501,000 new homes sold during the year have been reported. January data, which originally reported (494,000) have been revised to 502 000. The median sale price was $ 301,400, which is 6.2% higher compared to January.

The pound continued to fall in price against the US currency came close to a week low. Since the beginning of the week the pound has lost more than 350 points against the dollar, which is mainly due to increasing concerns about the exit of Britain from the EU and the speculation about another rate hike by the Federal Reserve next month. Today, Rabobank analysts said, "if in a referendum on June 23 the majority of British citizens will vote for the exit from the EU, the GBP / USD pair may fall to $ 1.20, but if Britain decides to stay GBP / USD pair will reach $ 1.53 in 12 months." The uncertainty of trade relations between Britain and the EU in the case of the country's exit from the unit may put pressure on investment flows and lower demand for the pound, "- said the Rabobank.

A slight effect on the pound have experts study the results of the Central Bank of England on business conditions. The report noted that the annual rate of growth of activity in the UK slowed in the first quarter of 2016. As the cause of the last speakers, experts have identified a slowdown in global growth and the strengthening of economic uncertainty. Growth in consumer spending was reported to have remained stable, with little change in retail sales compared with the previous quarter. Meanwhile, activity in the services sector slowed down slightly, mainly due to falling rates in the field of tourism. Retail prices continued to fall against the backdrop of steady fall in the value of food. Analysts said that the increase in labor costs was moderate, and the company reported a decline in hiring needs. The company also noted that the volume of exports declined in comparison with the 1st quarter last year.

The Canadian dollar dropped more than 150 pips against the US dollar, which was mainly due to the resumption of the fall in oil prices after the publication in the US petroleum inventories report. US Department of Energy reported that crude oil inventories rose week of March 12-18 by 9.4 million barrels to 532.5 million barrels, a new record high for this time of year. Analysts had expected an increase to 3.5 mln. Barrels. Oil reserves in Cushing terminal fell by 1.3 million barrels to 66.2 million barrels. Gasoline inventories fell by 4.6 million barrels to 245.1 million barrels. Analysts had expected inventories to fall by 2 million barrels. The utilization of refining capacity fell by 0.6% to 88.4%. Analysts have suggested that the rate will fall to 0.1%. Meanwhile, oil production in the US in the week of March 12-18, dropped to 9.038 million. Barrels per day versus 9.068 million. Barrels per day from the previous week. Experts note that the decline in production rates are high enough, and if this trend continues over the next 1-2 weeks figure could fall below 9 million. Barrels per day.

St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said in an interview with Bloomberg TV that an interest rate hike by the Fed in April was possible as the U.S. labour market continued to improve.

He was concerned about inflation expectations, which showed signs of stabilisation, but seemed to correlate with oil prices.

St. Louis Fed president criticised the Fed's dot plot forecasts of interest rates.

Bullard is a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) this year.

European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Jens Weidmann said in a speech on Wednesday that the latest stimulus measures by the ECB went too far and did not convince him.

He noted that there was no risk of deflation.

Weidmann warned that low interest rates could lead to asset bubbles and to lower willingness to implement structural reforms.

Japan's Cabinet Office released its monthly economic report on Wednesday. The government cut its assessment of the economy, saying that downward revision was driven by a weakness in consumer spending.

The government pointed out that Japan's economy continued to recover, adding that there were downside risks from the slowdown in emerging economies.

The German Council of Economic Experts (GCEE) lowered its growth forecast on Wednesday. The German economy is expected to expand 1.5% in 2016, down from its previous estimate of 1.6%, and 1.6% in 2017.

The downward revision was driven by weaker external demand.

Eurozone's inflation is expected to be 0.2% in 2016, down from its previous forecast of 1.1%, and 1.1% in 2017.

The experts expects the economy in Germany to continue to expand, driven by consumer spending, expansionary fiscal policy, and monetary policy.

The GCEE noted that investors expected longer period of low interest rates.

According to the experts, there are risks to the global outlook from the slowdown in emerging economies, turmoil on global financial markets, geopolitical conflicts, the resurgence of the euro crisis and possible Britain's exit from the European Union.

European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board member Sabine Lautenschlaeger said on Wednesday that interest rates could be cut further but the balance between the costs and the benefits is needed.

"You can always go lower with rates," she said.

Lautenschlaeger noted that she would support the exit from accommodative monetary policy.

The National Bank of Belgium (NBB) released its business survey on Wednesday. The business climate rose to -4.2 in March from -6.6 in February. Analysts had expected the index to rise to -6.0.

All 4 indicators climbed in March.

The business climate index for the manufacturing sector was up to -7.9 in March from -11.2 in February due to a more favourable assessments of total order books.

The business climate index for the services sector rose to 11.2 in March from 10.5 in February due to a more favourable assessment of the current activity and expectations for an increase general market demand.

The business climate index for the building sector increased to -3.9 in March from -4.1 in February due to an improvement of the demand-side components.

The business climate index for the trade sector climbed to -4.1 in March from -5.1 in February due to a rise in employment.

The U.S. Commerce Department released new home sales data on Wednesday. New home sales increased 2.0% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 512,000 units in February from 502,000 units in January. January's figure was revised up from 494,000 units.

Analysts had expected new home sales to reach 510,000 units.

The increase was mainly driven higher sales in the West region. New home sales in the West region climbed 38.5% in February.

The KOF Swiss Economic Institute released its growth forecasts for Switzerland on Wednesday. The Swiss economy is expected to expand 1.0% in 2016, down from the previous estimate of 1.1%, and 2.0% in 2017, unchanged from its previous estimate.

The downward revision was driven by the global economic weakness and the structural adjustments in Switzerland.

"Following a difficult 2015 for the Swiss economy as a whole, the prospects are gradually brightening. The weak international development towards the end of 2015 curbed the opportunities for exporters. Thanks to the gradual recovery of the economies of Switzerland's trading partners, the local economy is expected to regain its footing," the KOF said in its statement.

The KOF forecasted that consumer prices in Switzerland would be at -0.7% year-on-year in 2016, down from the previous estimate of -0.5%, and 0.1% in 2017, down from the previous estimate of 0.2%.

The unemployment rate is expected to be 3.5% in 2016, down from the previous estimate of 3.6%.

USD/JPY 110.70 (USD 700m) 111.95 (360m) 113.65 (285m)

EUR/USD 1.1000 (EUR 654m) 1.1025 (298m) 1.1035 (299m) 1.1050 (657m) 1.10550-60 (1.03bln) 1.1075 (375m) 1.1195-00(1.65bln) 1.1245-50 (903m) 1.1300 (252m) 1.1338 (370m0

GBP/USD 1.3900 (GBP 281m) 1.4050 (261m) 1.4250 (262m) 1.4330-35 (362m)

USD/CHF 1.0000 (USD 301m)

AUD/USD 0.7300 (AUD 1.02bln) 0.7490-00 (512m) 0.7550 (163m) 0.7625 (249m)

USD/CAD 1.3100 (USD 210m) 1.3120 (340m)

NZD/USD 0.6745 (NZD 198m) 0.6790 (200m)

Economic calendar (GMT0):

(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)

10:00 Switzerland Credit Suisse ZEW Survey (Expectations) March -5.9 2.5

11:00 U.S. MBA Mortgage Applications March -3.3% -3.3%

The U.S. dollar traded higher against the most major currencies ahead the release of the new home sales data. New home sales in the U.S. are expected to rise to 510,000 units in February from 494,000 units in January.

The greenback was supported by comments by Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker. He said on Tuesday that the Fed should hike its interest rate in April if the U.S. economy continues to improve. Harker pointed out that he would like to see more than two interest rate hikes this year, adding that the monetary policy would remain accommodative.

The euro traded lower against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major economic reports from the Eurozone.

Reuters reported on Tuesday that according to a draft of Germany's Finance Ministry, the government plans to raise its spending by €30.9 billion to €347.8 billion by 2020, while the budget should remain balanced.

The British pound traded lower against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major economic reports from the U.K. Concerns over the possible Britain's exit from the European Union (EU) continued to weigh on the pound.

The Swiss franc traded mixed against the U.S. dollar. A survey by the ZEW Institute and Credit Suisse Group showed on Wednesday that Switzerland's economic sentiment index climbed to 2.5 in March from -5.9 in February.

EUR/USD: the currency pair fell to $1.1162

GBP/USD: the currency pair declined to $1.4132

USD/JPY: the currency pair rose to Y112.88

The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

14:00 Belgium Business Climate March -6.6 -6

14:00 Switzerland SNB Quarterly Bulletin

14:00 U.S. New Home Sales February 494 510

14:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories March 1.317 3.5

21:45 New Zealand Trade Balance, mln February 8 50

EUR/USD

Offers: 1.1200 1.1220 1.1235 1.1250 1.1275-80 1.1300 1.1320 1.1350

Bids: 1.1170-75 1.1150 1.1130 1.1100 1.1080-85 1.1050 1.1030 1.1000

GBP/USD

Offers: 1.4200 1.4220 1.4235 1.4250 1.4280 1.4300 1.4325 1.4350

Bids: 1.4140-50 1.4120 1.4100 1.4085 1.4065 1.4050 1.4025-30 1.4000

EUR/JPY

Offers: 126.00 126.20 126.50 126.80 127.00 127.30 127.50

Bids: 125.50 125.25-30 125.00 124.80 124.50 124.00

EUR/GBP

Offers: 0.7910 0.7925-30 0.7950 0.7975-80 0.8000

Bids: 0.7880 0.7850-60 0.7830 0.7800 0.7785 0.7750

USD/JPY

Offers: 112.75-80 113.00 113.20 113.50 113.80 114.00

Bids: 112.20 112.00 111.80-85 111.50 111.20 111.00 110.80 110.50

AUD/USD

Offers: 0.7625-30 0.7650 0.7680 0.7700 0.7725-30 0.7750

Bids: 0.7580-85 0.7565 0.7550 0.7530 0.7500 0.7485 0.7450

The Spanish statistical office INE released its producer price index (PPI) data for Spain on Wednesday. The Spanish producer prices dropped 1.3% in February, after a 2.5% fall in January.

On a yearly basis, producer price inflation in Spain fell 5.7% in February, after a 4.2% decline in January. Producer prices have been declining since July 2014.

Energy prices slid 19.8% year-on-year in February, capital goods prices rose 0.8%, and consumer goods prices increased 0.2%, while intermediate goods prices declined 2.1%.

A survey by the ZEW Institute and Credit Suisse Group showed on Wednesday that Switzerland's economic sentiment index climbed to 2.5 in March from -5.9 in February.

"The economic expectations reach a slightly positive balance. Still, a majority of 71.1 per cent of analysts expect economic growth in Switzerland to remain unchanged," the ZEW said.

The current conditions rose to -2.7 in March from-6.0 in February.

Bank of Japan (BoJ) board member Yukitoshi Funo said on Wednesday that the central bank was ready to add further stimulus measures if risks to the economy increase. He added that there was limit to interest rate cuts.

Funo noted that further stimulus measures will depend on the economic data.

Funo voted for negative interest rate at the January monetary policy meeting.

Canadian Finance Minister Bill Morneau presented 2016-2017 (starting on April 1) budget on Tuesday. The government plans to spend more than C$47 billion ($36 billion) over the next five years, beginning with the 2016-2017 fiscal year. This spending should add to the Canadian economic growth 0.5% in 2016 and 1% in 2017, according to the government. The budget deficit is expected to be C$29.4 billion ($23 billion), or 1.5% of GDP, in fiscal year 2016-2017, up from the previous estimate of a C$18.4 billion ($14 billion), and up from the forecasted C$5.4 billion deficit in the fiscal year 2015-2017.

The government expects the debt-to-GDP ratio to be 32.5% in 2017.

Reuters reported on Tuesday that according to a draft of Germany's Finance Ministry, the government plans to raise its spending by €30.9 billion to €347.8 billion by 2020, while the budget should remain balanced. The government expect to boost its spending by €8.6 billion to €325.5 billion in 2017. The 2017 budget and financing plan up to 2020 are expected to be approved on July 06.

Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker said on Tuesday that the Fed should hike its interest rate in April if the U.S. economy continues to improve. He pointed out that he would like to see more than two interest rate hikes this year, adding that the monetary policy would remain accommodative.

Harker is not a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) this year.

Chicago Fed President Charles Evans said on Tuesday that he expected two interest rate hikes by the Fed this year but declined to say when the Fed should raise interest rate.

He also said that the Fed should wait until inflation in the U.S. will pick up toward 2% target before hiking interest rate further.

Evans pointed out that a weak corporate spending, low commodities prices, the slowdown in the Chinese economy and market volatility weigh on the U.S. economic growth.

Evans is not a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) this year.

USD/JPY 110.70 (USD 700m) 111.95 (360m) 113.65 (285m)

EUR/USD 1.1000 (EUR 654m) 1.1025 (298m) 1.1035 (299m) 1.1050 (657m) 1.10550-60 (1.03bln) 1.1075 (375m) 1.1195-00(1.65bln) 1.1245-50 (903m) 1.1300 (252m) 1.1338 (370m0

GBP/USD 1.3900 (GBP 281m) 1.4050 (261m) 1.4250 (262m) 1.4330-35 (362m)

USD/CHF 1.0000 (USD 301m)

AUD/USD 0.7300 (AUD 1.02bln) 0.7490-00 (512m) 0.7550 (163m) 0.7625 (249m)

USD/CAD 1.3100 (USD 210m) 1.3120 (340m)

NZD/USD 0.6745 (NZD 198m) 0.6790 (200m)

EUR / USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1306 (2435)

$1.1275 (3138)

$1.1252 (3120)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1184

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1141 (2057)

$1.1109 (2383)

$1.1078 (3428)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date April, 8 is 46601 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1500 (4483);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date April, 8 is 67683 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0900 (6141);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.45 versus 1.44 from the previous trading day according to data from March, 22

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.4503 (1688)

$1.4405 (1832)

$1.4308 (949)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.4173

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.4092 (747)

$1.3995 (2038)

$1.3897 (1013)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date April, 8 is 20205 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,4400 (1832);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date April, 8 is 22175 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3850 (2244);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.10 versus 0.94 from the previous trading day according to data from March, 22

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

The euro edged down as Asian investors reacted to overnight news of attacks in Brussels. Attacks on Brussels airport and a rush-hour metro train in the Belgian capital, which occurred late in Tuesday's Asian session, killed dozens and triggered security alerts across western Europe.

The yen fell as Japan officially selected Makoto Sakurai, a supporter of negative interest rates, as a new Bank of Japan board member Wednesday, a move likely to tip the balance of opinion on the board more in favor of Gov. Haruhiko Kuroda. The upper house of Japan's parliament approved Sakurai to take the post, following a similar decision in the lower house the previous day.

EUR / USD: during the Asian session, the pair was trading in the $ 1.1200-25

GBP / USD: during the Asian session the pair fell to $ 1.4180

USD / JPY: during the Asian session, the pair was trading in range Y112.10-45

Based on Reuters materials

(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,1215-0,21%

GBP/USD $1,4212 -1,10%

USD/CHF Chf0,9729 +0,25%

USD/JPY Y112,37 +0,37%

EUR/JPY Y126,01 +0,11%

GBP/JPY Y159,68 -0,73%

AUD/USD $0,7614 +0,46%

NZD/USD $0,6747 -0,28%

USD/CAD C$1,3043 -0,41%

(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

10:00 Switzerland Credit Suisse ZEW Survey (Expectations) March -5.9

11:00 U.S. MBA Mortgage Applications March -3.3%

14:00 Belgium Business Climate March -6.6 -6

14:00 Switzerland SNB Quarterly Bulletin

14:00 U.S. New Home Sales February 494 510

14:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories March 1.317

21:45 New Zealand Trade Balance, mln February 8 90