U.S. stocks rallied, after the Standard & Poor's 500 Index posted one of its steepest drops this year, amid a respite from a global equities selloff.
A surge in the final minutes pushed the S&P 500 up 1.8 percent to 1,948.87 at 4 p.m. in New York, closing at the session high after the gauge fell 3.8 percent over the previous two sessions. Equities jumped in early trading and then trimmed their gains by more than half before an afternoon rebound along with oil prices.
The benchmark equity gauge's 3 percent decline on Tuesday -- its third-biggest of 2015 -- marked a sour start to what has historically been the worst month of the year. The S&P 500 falls 1.1 percent on average in September, according to data compiled by Bloomberg going back to 1927.
Another troubling sign is that futures on Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index have climbed, showing traders predict turbulent markets will endure. The gauge known as the VIX fell 11 percent Wednesday to 27.93, after a record monthly jump in August,up 135 percent.
The S&P 500 slumped 6.3 percent last month as China's currency devaluation spurred concern over global growth, erasing more than $5.7 trillion in equity market values worldwide, while volatility surged the most on record. The equity index entered a correction last week, only to then rally more than 6 percent over two days. It closed Wednesday 9.1 percent below its all-time high set in May.
Chinese shares closed lower on the last trading day of this week as investors assessed the level of state support before a major military parade on Thursday. Mainland markets will be closed Thursday and Friday to commemorate the end of World War II.
Amid continuing concerns that China's slowdown will weigh on the global economy, traders are now pricing in a 32 percent chance that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates this month, down from 38 percent on Monday. Policy makers have a little more than two weeks to assess incoming data before deciding whether to act on rates.
A report from the Fed Wednesday said the economy expanded across most regions and industries in July and August as tighter labor markets boosted wages for some workers. Six of 12 Fed districts reported "moderate" growth, and five others said expansion was "modest," according to the Beige Book.
Data today on private payrolls showed companies added 190,000 workers in August, below the 200,000 forecast by economists surveyed by Bloomberg. Attention will focus on the government's monthly jobs report, due Friday, as a major data point before the Fed's meeting. A separate gauge Wednesday showed July factory orders rose less than forecast by economists.
The US dollar rose against most major currencies, even after data showed that employment in the US private sector grew in August, less than expected, as concerns over the outlook for the global economy remain.
Data provided by Automatic Data Processing (ADP), have shown that the rate of increase of employment in the US private sector accelerated slightly in August, but was lower than the expectations of experts.
According to a report last month, the number of employees increased by 190 thousand. People, compared with a revised downward indicator for July at 177 thousand. (Originally reported growth of 185 thousand.). We add, according to the average forecast value of this indicator was to reach 201 thousand.
If we analyze the cross-sectional size of the companies, including small business employment increased by 85 thousand. (Among those with work from 1 to 19 employees - 50 ths., While among companies with 20-49 employees, the number rose to 35 thous.). With regard to medium-sized businesses (50-499 employees), there employment increased by 66 thousand. Man. Large enterprises (500 and more than 1,000 employees), meanwhile, have increased the number of employees by 40 thousand. (Companies with 500-999 employees increased employment by 5 thousand., As an enterprise with more than 1,000 employees increased employment by 34 thousand.).
In addition, the data showed that, in the context of a sector the number of employed among the companies producing goods increased by 17 thousand., While among those who provide services, rose to 173 thousand.
If we assess the growth sectors of the industry, you can see the following picture: the construction of 17 thousand., The production of 7 thousand., Trade / transportation / utilities 28 th., Financial services 13 th., Professional / business services 29 thous.
The euro fell against the dollar, while the experts point out that the focus will be the stock market and tomorrow's decision on the monetary policy of the ECB. Investors will be closely watching Draghi comments on the situation in China, the rate of June and the euro zone economy.
Little influenced by today's data on producer prices of the eurozone, which confirmed the predictions of experts. Statistical Office, Eurostat reported, on the basis of July, producer prices in the euro area decreased by 0.1%, while in the EU was registered a drop of 0.2%. We recall that in June, prices remained stable in the euro area and fell by 0.1% among the 28 EU countries. In annual terms, the producer price index decreased by 2.1% in the euro area and fell by 2.7% in the EU. At the end of June, prices in the euro area and fell by 2.1% (revised from -2.2%). The monthly change in the index in the euro area was associated with a decrease in prices in the energy sector (-0.5%), zero change in intermediate goods and an increase of 0.1% in the segment of durable capital goods and consumer durables. In general, prices in the industry, excluding energy remained stable. The largest decline in industrial producer prices was observed in Denmark (-2.6%), Estonia (-1.5%), Greece (-1.4%) and Belgium (-1.0%). Growth was recorded only in Ireland (1.3%), Cyprus (0.6%) and Slovakia (by 0.2%) and Spain (0.1%).
The pound fell earlier moderately against the US currency, while a foothold below the level of $ 1.5300, which was associated with the publication of weak data on Britain, but later rebounded above the opening level. According to the Markit / CIPS, the index of purchasing managers in the construction industry in Britain rose in August to 57.3 points against 57.1 points in July, pointing out the steady expansion. However, analysts expected the index to the level of 57.5 points. The greatest increase in activity was seen in the housing sector buildings. The volume of construction works in the commercial sphere also grew strongly, while engineering projects remained in the doldrums. "Construction companies in Britain continued to show a confident increase in activity in August, helped by growth in residential and commercial construction," - said Tim Moore, senior economist at Markit. The data also showed that construction firms positively look at their prospects. Most companies expect growth in the volume of work over the next year, while only 1 out of 20 expect reductions. Meanwhile, it was reported that employment continued to rise faster rate and a fall in oil prices slowed the rising cost of raw materials.
Major U.S. stock-indexes higher on Wednesday, rebounding from steep losses a day earlier, after China intervened to support its financial markets and help stem a global equities selloff. Eight of the 10 major S&P sectors were higher with the technology index's .SPLRCT 1.2 percent rise leading the advancers. Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT) and Intel (INTC) were all up about 2%.
Almost all of Dow stocks in positive area (29 of 30). Top looser - Chevron Corporation (CVX, -0.40%). Top gainer - Apple Inc. (AAPL, +2.78).
Almost all S&P index sectors also in positive area. Top gainer - Utilities (-0.1%). Top gainer - Consumer goods (+1,3%).
At the moment:
Dow 16239.00 +152.00 +0.94%
S&P 500 1931.25 +15.25 +0.80%
Nasdaq 100 4207.00 +48.75 +1.17%
10 Year yield 2,17% -0,00
Oil 45.02 -0.39 -0.86%
Gold 1134.50 +2.00 +0.18%
Polish equity market closed lower on Wednesday. The broad market measure, the WIG Index, posted a 0.31% drop. Within the index performance was mixed, with constructions (+0.9%) outperforming and oil and gas sector (-2.35%) lagging.
The large-cap stocks' measure, the WIG30 Index, fell by 0.44%. CCC (WSE: CCC) was the index's sharpest decliner, tumbling by 4.5% on reported slowdown in sales growth in August. It was followed by PGNIG (WSE: PGN), ENEA (WSE: ENA) and PKN ORLEN (WSE: PKN), losing 4.01%, 2.15% and 1.87% respectively. On the contrary, BOGDANKA (WSE: LWB), KERNEL (WSE: KER) and EUROCASH (WSE: EUR) gained the most, adding more than 3% each.
Stock indices rebounded after the yesterday's drop. Stock markets Tuesday traded lower on concerns over the slowdown in the global economy. International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Christine Lagarde said on Tuesday that the global growth will be weaker than expected earlier due to a slower recovery in advanced economies and a further slowdown in emerging economies.
The weak manufacturing and services PMIs from China also weighed on the markets on Tuesday.
Meanwhile, the economic from the Eurozone was weak on Wednesday. Eurozone's producer price index declined 0.1% in July, in line with expectations, after a flat reading in June. June's figure was revised up from a 0.1% drop.
Intermediate goods prices were flat in July, capital goods prices rose 0.1%, and both durable and non-durable consumer goods prices climbed 0.1%, while energy prices decreased 0.5%.
On a yearly basis, Eurozone's producer price index dropped 2.1% in July, in line with expectations, after a 2.1% fall in June. June's figure was revised up from a 2.2% decline.
Eurozone's producer prices excluding energy fell 0.4% year-on-year in July. Energy prices dropped at an annual rate of 6.5%.
Markit's and the Chartered Institute of Purchasing & Supply's construction purchasing managers' index (PMI) for the U.K. increased to 57.3 in August from 57.1 in July, missing expectations for a rise to 57.5.
A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the construction sector.
The increase was driven by a strong rise in business activity and employment.
Indexes on the close:
Name Price Change Change %
FTSE 100 6,083.31 +24.77 +0.41 %
DAX 10,048.05 +32.48 +0.32 %
CAC 40 4,554.92 +13.76 +0.30 %
Oil prices fell on the U.S. crude oil inventories data. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) released its crude oil inventories data on Wednesday. U.S. crude inventories climbed by 4.67 million barrels to 455.4 million in the week to August 28. It was the biggest one-week increase since April.
Analysts had expected U.S. crude oil inventories to decline by 1.5 million barrels.
Gasoline inventories decreased by 271,000 barrels, according to the EIA.
Crude stocks at the Cushing, Oklahoma, declined by 388,000 barrels.
U.S. crude oil imports increased by 656,000 barrels per day.
Refineries in the U.S. were running at 92.8% of capacity, down from 94.5% the previous week.
Oil prices dropped yesterday on the weaker-than-expected manufacturing PMI data from China.
WTI crude oil for October delivery decreased to $43.71 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Brent crude oil for October fell to $48.97 a barrel on ICE Futures Europe.
Gold price declined as the global stock markets and the U.S. dollar increased. The U.S. dollar rose against other currencies on the U.S. economic data. The U.S. Labor Department released its revised non-farm productivity figures on Wednesday. Revised productivity in the U.S. non-farm businesses rose at a 3.3% annual rate in the second quarter, up from the preliminary reading of a 1.3% increase, after a 1.1% drop in the first quarter.
The upward revision was driven by higher output, which rose 4.7% in the second quarter, up from the preliminary reading of a 2.8% gain.
Private sector in the U.S. added 190,000 jobs in August, according the ADP report on Wednesday. July's figure was revised down to 177,000 jobs from a previous reading of 185,000 jobs.
Analysts expected the private sector to add 201,000 jobs.
Official labour market data will be released on Friday. Analysts expect that U.S. unemployment rate is expected to decline to 5.2% in August from 5.3% in July. The U.S. economy is expected to add 220,000 jobs in August, after adding 215,000 jobs in July.
October futures for gold on the COMEX today fell to 1131.10 dollars per ounce.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) released its crude oil inventories data on Wednesday. U.S. crude inventories climbed by 4.67 million barrels to 455.4 million in the week to August 28. It was the biggest one-week increase since April.
Analysts had expected U.S. crude oil inventories to decline by 1.5 million barrels.
Gasoline inventories decreased by 271,000 barrels, according to the EIA.
Crude stocks at the Cushing, Oklahoma, declined by 388,000 barrels.
U.S. crude oil imports increased by 656,000 barrels per day.
Refineries in the U.S. were running at 92.8% of capacity, down from 94.5% the previous week.
The U.S. Commerce Department released factory orders data on Wednesday. Factory orders in the U.S. rose 0.4% in July, missing expectations for a 0.9% gain, after a 2.2% increase in June. June's figure was revised up from a 1.8% rise.
The increase was driven by a rise in orders for motor vehicles, which jumped 4% in July, the largest rise since July 2014.
Durable goods increased by 2.2% in July, while orders for nondurable goods dropped 1.3%.
EUR/USD: $1.1100(E252mn), $1.1110(E565mn), $1.1150(E465mn), $1.1200(E647mn), $1.1275(E370mn), $1.1300(E846mn)
USD/JPY: Y119.50($260mn), Y120.00($243mn), Y120.85($170mn), Y122.00($210mn)
EUR/JPY: Y135.00(E130mn)
GBP/USD: $1.5320-25(Gbp315mn)
AUD/USD: $0.6900(A$406mn) *NZD/USD: $0.6450(NZ$208mn), $0.6475(NZ$128mn)
USD/CAD: C$1.3000($276mn), C$1.3100($170mn), C$1.3200($326mn)
USD/CNY: Cny6.3500($795mn)
The U.S. Labor Department released its revised non-farm productivity figures on Wednesday. Revised productivity in the U.S. non-farm businesses rose at a 3.3% annual rate in the second quarter, up from the preliminary reading of a 1.3% increase, after a 1.1% drop in the first quarter.
The upward revision was driven by higher output, which rose 4.7% in the second quarter, up from the preliminary reading of a 2.8% gain.
Hours worked climbed by 1.4%, down from the preliminary reading of a 1.5% rise.
Revised unit labour costs decreased 1.4% in the second quarter, down from the preliminary reading of a 0.5% increase, after a 2.3 gain in the first quarter.
U.S. stock-index futures extended their advance as crude oil erased an earlier retreat.
Global Stocks:
Nikkei 18,095.4 -70.29 -0.39%
Hang Seng 20,934.94 -250.49 -1.18%
Shanghai Composite 3,155.04 -11.58 -0.37%
FTSE 6,119.79 +61.25 +1.01%
CAC 4,579.83 +38.67 +0.85%
DAX 10,086.26 +70.69 +0.71%
Crude oil $44.77 (-1.41%)
Gold $1136.20 (-0.32%)
(company / ticker / price / change, % / volume)
American Express Co | AXP | 74.25 | 0.34% | 0.3K |
Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE | ABX | 6.78 | 0.44% | 7.0K |
Chevron Corp | CVX | 78.75 | 0.72% | 2.2K |
Exxon Mobil Corp | XOM | 72.60 | 0.72% | 4.2K |
Procter & Gamble Co | PG | 69.40 | 0.73% | 1.1K |
The Coca-Cola Co | KO | 39.04 | 0.75% | 0.4K |
ALCOA INC. | AA | 9.29 | 0.76% | 1.5K |
Wal-Mart Stores Inc | WMT | 64.32 | 0.78% | 0.9K |
Caterpillar Inc | CAT | 75.50 | 0.80% | 16.6K |
Nike | NKE | 109.50 | 0.80% | 6.5K |
FedEx Corporation, NYSE | FDX | 149.25 | 0.82% | 0.5K |
Pfizer Inc | PFE | 31.64 | 0.89% | 5.6K |
Cisco Systems Inc | CSCO | 25.35 | 0.92% | 1.7K |
McDonald's Corp | MCD | 94.35 | 0.94% | 11.3K |
Boeing Co | BA | 128.65 | 0.95% | 0.2K |
Johnson & Johnson | JNJ | 93.00 | 0.99% | 0.6K |
International Business Machines Co... | IBM | 144.10 | 1.00% | 0.5K |
Verizon Communications Inc | VZ | 45.38 | 1.07% | 5.7K |
Intel Corp | INTC | 28.12 | 1.08% | 5.1K |
General Electric Co | GE | 24.14 | 1.09% | 9.3K |
Home Depot Inc | HD | 114.35 | 1.13% | 0.6K |
Microsoft Corp | MSFT | 42.31 | 1.17% | 7.9K |
Visa | V | 69.78 | 1.19% | 1.8K |
AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP | AIG | 59.50 | 1.31% | 0.2K |
Citigroup Inc., NYSE | C | 51.62 | 1.33% | 16.6K |
Goldman Sachs | GS | 184.68 | 1.41% | 15.9K |
JPMorgan Chase and Co | JPM | 62.33 | 1.43% | 7.0K |
Walt Disney Co | DIS | 100.98 | 1.48% | 14.7K |
Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ | AMZN | 504.12 | 1.53% | 12.7K |
Facebook, Inc. | FB | 88.77 | 1.77% | 182.2K |
Ford Motor Co. | F | 13.97 | 1.82% | 17.7K |
AT&T Inc | T | 32.91 | 1.83% | 50.5K |
Apple Inc. | AAPL | 109.87 | 2.00% | 474.8K |
Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE | FCX | 10.03 | 2.66% | 30.1K |
Upgrades:
AT&T (T) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citigroup
AT&T (T) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman
Downgrades:
Other:
Walt Disney (DIS) initiated with a Outperform at Credit Agricole
Private sector in the U.S. added 190,000 jobs in August, according the ADP report on Wednesday. July's figure was revised down to 177,000 jobs from a previous reading of 185,000 jobs.
Analysts expected the private sector to add 201,000 jobs.
Services sector added 173,000 jobs in August, while manufacturing sector added only 17,000.
"Recent global financial market turmoil has not slowed the U.S. job market, at least not yet. Job growth remains strong and broad-based, except in the energy industry, which continues to shed jobs. Large companies also remain more cautious in their hiring than smaller ones," the Chief Economist of Moody's Analytics Mark Zandi said.
Official labour market data will be released on Friday. Analysts expect that U.S. unemployment rate is expected to decline to 5.2% in August from 5.3% in July. The U.S. economy is expected to add 220,000 jobs in August, after adding 215,000 jobs in July.
Economic calendar (GMT0):
(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)
01:30 Australia Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) Quarter II 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
01:30 Australia Gross Domestic Product (YoY) Quarter II 2.5% Revised From 2.3% 2.2% 2.0%
08:30 United Kingdom PMI Construction August 57.1 57.5 57.3
09:00 Eurozone Producer Price Index, MoM July 0.0% Revised From -0.1% -0.1% -0.1%
09:00 Eurozone Producer Price Index (YoY) July -2.1% Revised From -2.2% -2.1% -2.1%
11:00 U.S. MBA Mortgage Applications August 0.2% 11.3%
The U.S. dollar traded mixed to higher against the most major currencies ahead the release of the U.S. economic data. According to the ADP employment report, the U.S. economy is expected to add 201,000 jobs in August.
The U.S. factory orders are expected to increase 0.9% in July, after a 1.8 gain in June.
The euro traded mixed against the U.S. dollar after the weak economic data from the Eurozone. Eurozone's producer price index declined 0.1% in July, in line with expectations, after a flat reading in June. June's figure was revised up from a 0.1% drop.
Intermediate goods prices were flat in July, capital goods prices rose 0.1%, and both durable and non-durable consumer goods prices climbed 0.1%, while energy prices decreased 0.5%.
On a yearly basis, Eurozone's producer price index dropped 2.1% in July, in line with expectations, after a 2.1% fall in June. June's figure was revised up from a 2.2% decline.
Eurozone's producer prices excluding energy fell 0.4% year-on-year in July. Energy prices dropped at an annual rate of 6.5%.
The British pound traded lower against the U.S. dollar after the weaker-than-expected construction PMI from the U.K. Markit's and the Chartered Institute of Purchasing & Supply's construction purchasing managers' index (PMI) for the U.K. increased to 57.3 in August from 57.1 in July, missing expectations for a rise to 57.5.
A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the construction sector.
The increase was driven by a strong rise in business activity and employment.
EUR/USD: the currency pair traded mixed
GBP/USD: the currency pair fell to $1.5263
USD/JPY: the currency pair traded mixed
The most important news that are expected (GMT0):
12:15 U.S. ADP Employment Report August 185 201
14:00 U.S. Factory Orders July 1.8% 0.9%
18:00 U.S. Fed's Beige Book
EUR/USD
Offers 1.1290 1.1300 1.1355-60 1.1400 1.1440
Bids 1.1210 1.1200 1.1180 1.1130 1.1120
GBP/USD
Offers 1.5380 1.5400 1.5420 1.5450 1.5480 1.5500-05
Bids 1.5250 1.5220 1.5200 1.5190
EUR/GBP
Offers 0.7395 0.7400 0.7420 0.7445-50
Bids 0.7350 0.7320 0.7300
EUR/JPY
Offers 136.00 136.50 136.80 137.00
Bids 135.00 134.50 134.00
USD/JPY
Offers 120.50 121.00 121.30 121.50 122.00
Bids 119.50 119.20 119.10 119.00
AUD/USD
Offers 0.7050 0.7100 0.7200 0.7250
Bids 0.7000 0.6950 0.6900 0.6850
Stock indices traded lower as concerns over the slowdown in the global economy still weighed on the markets. International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Christine Lagarde said on Tuesday that the global growth will be weaker than expected earlier due to a slower recovery in advanced economies and a further slowdown in emerging economies.
The weak manufacturing and services PMIs from China are still in focus.
Meanwhile, the economic from the Eurozone was weak. Eurozone's producer price index declined 0.1% in July, in line with expectations, after a flat reading in June. June's figure was revised up from a 0.1% drop.
Intermediate goods prices were flat in July, capital goods prices rose 0.1%, and both durable and non-durable consumer goods prices climbed 0.1%, while energy prices decreased 0.5%.
On a yearly basis, Eurozone's producer price index dropped 2.1% in July, in line with expectations, after a 2.1% fall in June. June's figure was revised up from a 2.2% decline.
Eurozone's producer prices excluding energy fell 0.4% year-on-year in July. Energy prices dropped at an annual rate of 6.5%.
Markit's and the Chartered Institute of Purchasing & Supply's construction purchasing managers' index (PMI) for the U.K. increased to 57.3 in August from 57.1 in July, missing expectations for a rise to 57.5.
A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the construction sector.
The increase was driven by a strong rise in business activity and employment.
Current figures:
Name Price Change Change %
FTSE 100 6,052.83 -5.71 -0.09 %
DAX 9,991.23 -24.34 -0.24 %
CAC 40 4,530.33 -10.83 -0.24 %
Spain's labour ministry release its labour market figures on Wednesday. The number of registered unemployed people rose 21,679 in August. It was the first increase in seven months.
The services sector lost the most jobs.
EUR/USD: $1.1100(E252mn), $1.1110(E565mn), $1.1150(E465mn), $1.1200(E647mn), $1.1275(E370mn), $1.1300(E846mn)
USD/JPY: Y119.50($260mn), Y120.00($243mn), Y120.85($170mn), Y122.00($210mn)
EUR/JPY: Y135.00(E130mn)
GBP/USD: $1.5320-25(Gbp315mn)
AUD/USD: $0.6900(A$406mn) *NZD/USD: $0.6450(NZ$208mn), $0.6475(NZ$128mn)
USD/CAD: C$1.3000($276mn), C$1.3100($170mn), C$1.3200($326mn)
USD/CNY: Cny6.3500($795mn)
Eurostat released its producer price index for the Eurozone on Wednesday. Eurozone's producer price index declined 0.1% in July, in line with expectations, after a flat reading in June. June's figure was revised up from a 0.1% drop.
Intermediate goods prices were flat in July, capital goods prices rose 0.1%, and both durable and non-durable consumer goods prices climbed 0.1%, while energy prices decreased 0.5%.
On a yearly basis, Eurozone's producer price index dropped 2.1% in July, in line with expectations, after a 2.1% fall in June. June's figure was revised up from a 2.2% decline.
Eurozone's producer prices excluding energy fell 0.4% year-on-year in July. Energy prices dropped at an annual rate of 6.5%.
Markit's and the Chartered Institute of Purchasing & Supply's construction purchasing managers' index (PMI) for the U.K. increased to 57.3 in August from 57.1 in July, missing expectations for a rise to 57.5.
A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the construction sector.
The increase was driven by a strong rise in business activity and employment.
"UK construction companies remained on a reasonably strong growth footing in August, helped by a sustained recovery in both residential and commercial building activity. Meanwhile, there was another loss of momentum for civil engineering, which brought output growth within this sub-sector further below the multi-year highs seen in 2014," Senior Economist at Markit, Tim Moore, said.
The Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Eric Rosengren said on Tuesday that it does not matter when to hike the interest rate. He added that the interest rate hike will be gradual.
"While market attention has focused on the exact timing of potential rate rises, macroeconomic models of the economy overwhelmingly suggest little impact on the broader economic landscape from moving the timing of initial interest rate hikes forward or backward by a couple of months," he said.
The Federal Reserve Bank of Boston president noted that the employment target has been reached to start raising interest rates, but other targets such as inflation remain unclear.
Rosengren also said that the Fed should be cautious to start raising its interest rates due to the recent turbulences on the global markets.
Rosengren is not a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) this year.
The Australian Bureau of Statistics released its GDP data on Wednesday. Australia's GDP climbed 0.2% in the second quarter, missing expectations for a 0.4% gain, after a 0.9% rise in the first quarter.
On a yearly basis, Australia's GDP rose 2.0% in the second quarter, missing expectations for a 2.2% increase, after a 2.3% gain in the first quarter.
Final consumption spending was up 0.9% quarter-on-quarter and 2.9% year-on-year.
Terms of trade dropped 3.4% quarter-on-quarter and 10.6% year-on-year, while real net national disposable income decreased 0.9% quarter-on-quarter and fell 1.1% year-on-year.
Mining plunged 3.0% in the second quarter, while construction declined 0.6%.
OECD released its consumer price inflation (CPI) data on Tuesday. Consumer price inflation in the OECD area remained unchanged at 0.6% year-on-year in July.
Energy prices dropped at an annual rate of 9.5% in July, food prices decreased to 1.3% in July from 1.5% in June.
PI excluding food and energy in the OECD area rose to an annual rate to 1.7% in July from 1.6% in June.
July's CPI was 0.2% in the U.K, 1.3% in Canada, 0.2% in the U.S., 0.2% in Germany and 0.2% in Japan.
The consumer price inflation in the Eurozone was 0.2% in July.
West Texas Intermediate futures for October delivery fell to $44.31 (-2.42%), while Brent crude dropped to $48.41 (-2.32%) amid weak stock markets and expectations of greater U.S. crude inventories. Late Tuesday the American Petroleum Institute said U.S. crude stocks rose by 7.6 million barrels to 457 million barrels last week beating expectations for a more modest rise. The more precise inventory data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration will be published later today.
Venezuela and China have signed a deal for a $5 billion loan aimed to increasing Venezuela's oil production. No details of the deal were revealed.
Gold is currently at $1,141.10 (+0.11%). The precious metal managed to climb slightly after it declined at the beginning of the session. Early declines took place despite sharp drops in U.S. stocks. "This suggests that in the short term, stock market meltdown or no meltdown, gold prices are unwilling to move above $1,145 (and) it will take a way stronger catalyst, say a very weak non-farm payrolls number this Friday, to substantially bring prices (higher),'' said Howie Lee, analyst at Phillip Futures in Singapore.
Investors are waiting for U.S. payrolls data to assess probability of a rate hike by the Federal Reserve in September. ADP Employment Report is due today 12:15 GMT. It might provide some clues on payrolls.
EUR / USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.1478 (2536)
$1.1409 (5111)
$1.1340 (5120)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.1274
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.1188 (2755)
$1.1120 (2754)
$1.1037 (2853)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date September, 4 is 89816 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1350 (5111);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date September, 4 is 129264 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0500 (7885);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.41 versus 1.43 from the previous trading day according to data from September, 1
GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.5600 (2514)
$1.5501 (2081)
$1.5402 (640)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.5308
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.5198 (1441)
$1.5099 (373)
$1.5000 (1343)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date September, 4 is 30240 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5750 (2546);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date September, 4 is 34702 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5500 (2732);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.15 versus 1.15 from the previous trading day according to data from September, 1
* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.
U.S. stock indices fell on Tuesday amid concerns over China's economy as investors continued assessing weak manufacturing PMI data released on Tuesday. China is the second biggest economy in the world and its slowdown may harm global economic growth. IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde warned on Tuesday that the world's emerging economies would have to be more resilient to withstand China's slowdown.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 469.68 points, or 2.8%, to 16,058.35 (all of its 30 components fell). The S&P 500 fell 58.33 points, or 3%, to 1,913 (all of its 10 sectors declined). The Nasdaq Composite dropped 140.40 points, or 2.9%, to 4,636.10.
Meanwhile the Institute for Supply Management reported that activity in the U.S. manufacturing sector fell sharply. The corresponding index came in at 51.1 in August compared to 52.7 in July, while economists had expected the index to slide only to 52.6.
This morning in Asia Hong Kong Hang Seng climbed 0.03%, or 5.67 points, to 21,191.10. China Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.31%, or 9.71 points, to 3,176.34. The Nikkei rebounded by 1.11%, or 202.34 points, to 18,368.03.
Asian stocks fell at the beginning of today's session, but they advanced slightly later despite declines in U.S. equities.
A three-day vacation begins in China on September 3.
Economic calendar (GMT0):
Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual
01:30 Australia Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) Quarter II 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
01:30 Australia Gross Domestic Product (YoY) Quarter II 2.3% 2.2% 2.0%
The yen advanced amid correction of the dollar and gains in Japanese stocks. Yesterday the greenback's decline was caused by statistics from China and the U.S. China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing reported that the country's manufacturing PMI fell to 49.7 in August from 50 in July, slipping below the 50 points threshold that separates expansion from contraction. The Institute for Supply management reported that U.S. manufacturing index came in at 51.1 in August compared to 52.7 in July, while economists had expected the index to slide only to 52.6.
The Australian dollar fell below $0.70 for a short while after release of Australian GDP data. A report showed that the country's GDP rose by 0.2% in the second quarter missing expectations for a 0.4% rise. In the first quarter the index came in at 0.9%. On an annualized basis GDP rose by 2.0%, while economists had expected a reading of +2.2%. Slower growth was caused by declines in mining and construction activity as well as by lower prices of export commodities.
EUR/USD: the pair fell to $1.1260 in Asian trade
USD/JPY: the pair rose to Y120.45
GBP/USD: the pair traded within $1.5290-20
The most important news that are expected (GMT0):
(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)
08:30 United Kingdom PMI Construction August 57.1 57.5
09:00 Eurozone Producer Price Index, MoM July -0.1% -0.1%
09:00 Eurozone Producer Price Index (YoY) July -2.2% -2.1%
11:00 U.S. MBA Mortgage Applications August 0.2%
12:15 U.S. ADP Employment Report August 185 201
14:00 U.S. Factory Orders July 1.8% 0.9%
14:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories August -5.452 -1.5
18:00 U.S. Fed's Beige Book
23:30 Australia AIG Services Index August 54.1
(raw materials / closing price /% change)
Oil 44.19 -2.69%
Gold 1,139.30 -0.04%
(index / closing price / change items /% change)
Nikkei 225 18,165.69 -724.79 -3.84 %
Hang Seng 21,185.43 -485.15 -2.24 %
S&P/ASX 200 5,096.41 -110.57 -2.12 %
Shanghai Composite 3,165.07 -40.91 -1.28 %
FTSE 100 6,058.54 -189.40 -3.03 %
CAC 40 4,541.16 -111.79 -2.40 %
Xetra DAX 10,015.57 -243.89 -2.38 %
S&P 500 1,913.85 -58.33 -2.96 %
NASDAQ Composite 4,636.11 -140.40 -2.94 %
Dow Jones 16,058.35 -469.68 -2.84 %
(pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,1309 +0,89%
GBP/USD $1,5304 -0,25%
USD/CHF Chf0,9588 -0,72%
USD/JPY Y119,38 -1,55%
EUR/JPY Y135,01 -0,65%
GBP/JPY Y182,68 -1,82%
AUD/USD $0,7013 -1,41%
NZD/USD $0,6336 -0,13%
USD/CAD C$1,3247 +0,84%
(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)
01:30 Australia Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) Quarter II 0.9% 0.4%
01:30 Australia Gross Domestic Product (YoY) Quarter II 2.3% 2.2%
08:30 United Kingdom PMI Construction August 57.1 57.5
09:00 Eurozone Producer Price Index, MoM July -0.1% -0.1%
09:00 Eurozone Producer Price Index (YoY) July -2.2% -2.1%
11:00 U.S. MBA Mortgage Applications August 0.2%
12:15 U.S. ADP Employment Report August 185 201
14:00 U.S. Factory Orders July 1.8% 0.9%
14:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories August -5.452
18:00 U.S. Fed's Beige Book
23:30 Australia AIG Services Index August 54.1