The U.S.
dollar traded higher against the most major currencies after the mixed U.S.
jobs market data. The unemployment rate in the U.S. remained unchanged at 6.3%
in May. Analysts had expected an increase to 6.4%.
The U.S.
economy added 217,000 in May, missing expectations for a 218,000 rise, after a
282,000 gain in April. April’s figure was revised down from a 288,000 increase.
These
figures seem to be another sign that the U.S. economy gaining the kind of
sustained momentum.
The euro
traded lower against the U.S. dollar. Market participants seemed to be
unimpressed by the stimulus measures by the European Central Bank.
German
economic data was released. Germany's trade surplus climbed to €17.7 billion in
April from €15.0 billion in March. March’s figure was revised up from a surplus
of €14.8 billion. Analysts had expected Germany’s trade surplus to increase to
€15.2 billion.
German
industrial production rose 0.2% in April, missing expectations for a 0.4% gain,
after a 0.5% decline in March. On a yearly basis, the industrial production in
Germany increased 1.8% in April, after a 3.0% rise in March.
Germany’s
current account surplus declined to €18.4 billion in April from €19.5 billion
in March.
The British
pound traded lower against the U.S. dollar. The U.K. trade deficit rose to
£8.92 billion in April, from £8.29 billion in March. March’s figure was revised
up from a deficit of £8.48 billion. Analysts had expected the U.K. trade
deficit to increase to £8.65 billion.
The U.K.
consumer inflation expectations declined to 2.6% from 2.8%.
The Swiss
franc traded lower against the U.S. dollar. Switzerland’s consumer price index
climbed 0.3% in May, exceeding expectations for a 0.2% gain, after a 0.1% rise
in April.
The
Canadian dollar declined against the U.S. dollar due to the higher unemployment
rate in Canada. Canada's unemployment rate climbed to 7.0% in May, from 6.9% in
April. Analysts had expected the unemployment rate to remain unchanged.
The
Canadian economy added 25,800 in May, exceeding expectations for a 25,000 gain,
after a 28,900 decline in April. Most of the gains were in part-time work. The
job growth in the private sector was flat.
The New
Zealand dollar traded mixed against the U.S dollar in the absence of any major reports
in New Zealand.
The
Australian dollar traded mixed against the U.S. dollar. The AI Group/HIA
construction index for Australia increased to 46.7 in May from 45.9 in April.
The index still remained in contractionary territory due to the weakness in engineering
and commercial construction. Figures above 50 indicate expansion while figures
below signal contraction.
The
Japanese yen declined against the U.S. dollar after the U.S. labour market data.
Japan’s leading economic index declined to 106.6 in April from 107.1 in March,
but exceeding expectations for a decline to 106.2.
Japan’s
coincident index slid to 111.1 in April from 114.5 in March.
Statistics
Canada released the labour market data on Friday. Canada's unemployment rate climbed
to 7.0% in May, from 6.9% in April. Analysts had expected the unemployment rate
to remain unchanged.
The Canadian
economy added 25,800 in May, exceeding expectations for a 25,000 gain, after a
28,900 decline in April. Most of the gains were in part-time work. The job
growth in the private sector was flat.
Full-time
employment slid by 29,100 in May while part-time jobs rose by 54,900.
EUR/USD $1.3500, $1.3545-50, $1.3600, $1.3650
USD/JPY Y102.25, Y102.35, Y102.50, Y102.75-80, Y102.90-103.00
GBP/USD $1.6725, $1.6765, $1.6850
EUR/GBP stg0.8150, stg0.8220
USD/CHF Chf0.8905
AUD/USD $0.9275-80, $0.9300
USD/CAD C$1.0900-15, C$1.0925, C$1.0945-50, C$1.0985-90
The Labor
Department released its monthly report on hiring and joblessness on Friday. The
unemployment rate remained unchanged at 6.3% in May. Analysts had expected an
increase to 6.4%.
The U.S.
economy added 217,000 in May, missing expectations for a 218,000 rise, after a
282,000 gain in April. April’s figure was revised down from a 288,000 increase.
Total U.S. payrolls reached 138.5 million in May, exceeding the previous peak level of employment in the U.S. set in January 2008.
These
figures seem to be another sign that the U.S. economy gaining the kind of
sustained momentum.
Economic
calendar (GMT0):
05:00 Japan Leading Economic Index April 107.1 106.2
106.6
05:00 Japan Coincident Index April 114.5 111.1
06:00 Germany Trade Balance April 14.8 14.3
17.7
06:00 Germany Industrial Production s.a. (MoM) April -0.5% +0.4%
+0.2%
06:00 Germany Industrial Production (YoY) April +3.0% +1.8%
06:00 Germany Current Account April 19.5 18.4
06:45 France Trade Balance, bln April -4.9 -5.0 -3.9
07:00 Switzerland Foreign Currency Reserves April 438.9 444.4
07:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (MoM) May +0.1% +0.2%
+0.3%
07:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (YoY) May 0.0% +0.1%
+0.2%
08:30 United Kingdom Consumer Inflation Expectations Quarter II +2.8% +2.6%
The U.S.
dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies ahead of the U.S. jobs
market data. The unemployment rate in the U.S. should increase to 6.4% in May,
after 6.3% in April.
The number
of additional jobs in the private sector should climb by 218,000 jobs in May,
after 288,000 jobs in April.
The euro traded
lower against the U.S. dollar, but recovered a part of its losses. Market participants seemed to be unimpressed by
the stimulus measures by the European Central Bank.
German
economic data was released. Germany's trade surplus climbed to €17.7 billion in
April from €15.0 billion in March. March’s figure was revised up from a surplus
of €14.8 billion. Analysts had expected Germany’s trade surplus to increase to
€15.2 billion.
German
industrial production rose 0.2% in April, missing expectations for a 0.4% gain,
after a 0.5% decline in March. On a yearly basis, the industrial production in
Germany increased 1.8% in April, after a 3.0% rise in March.
Germany’s
current account surplus declined to €18.4 billion in April from €19.5 billion
in March.
The British
pound traded mixed against the U.S. dollar. The U.K. trade deficit rose to
£8.92 billion in April, from £8.29 billion in March. March’s figure was revised
up from a deficit of £8.48 billion. Analysts had expected the U.K. trade
deficit to increase to £8.65 billion.
The U.K. consumer
inflation expectations declined to 2.6% from 2.8%.
The Swiss
franc traded mixed against the U.S. dollar. Switzerland’s consumer price index climbed
0.3% in May, exceeding expectations for a 0.2% gain, after a 0.1% rise in April.
The Canadian dollar traded mixed against the U.S. dollar ahead of the Canadian labour market data. The unemployment rate in the Canada should remain unchanged at 6.9% in May.
EUR/USD:
the currency pair traded mixed
GBP/USD:
the currency pair traded mixed
USD/JPY:
the currency pair traded mixed
The most
important news that are expected (GMT0):
12:30 Canada
Labor Productivity
Quarter I +1.0% +0.7%
12:30 Canada
Employment
May -28.9 +12.3
12:30 Canada
Unemployment rate May 6.9% 6.9%
12:30 U.S.
Average hourly earnings May 0.0% +0.2%
12:30 U.S.
Nonfarm Payrolls
May 288 219
12:30 U.S.
Unemployment Rate May 6.3% 6.4%
EUR/USD
Offers $1.3695/700, $1.3688, $1.3670/80
Bids $1.3605/00, $1.3500
GBP/USD
Offers $1.6890-900, $1.6860, $1.6835/40
Bids $1.6800
AUD/USD
Offers $0.9450, $0.9420, $0.9400
Bids $0.9300, $0.9255/50, $0.9235/30
EUR/JPY
Offers Y140.80, Y140.50, Y140.00
Bids Y139.10/00, Y138.50
USD/JPY
Offers Y103.50, Y103.00, Y102.75/80, Y102.50
Bids Y102.00, Y101.60, Y101.50
EUR/GBP
Offers stg0.8160/65, stg0.8150
Bids stg0.8050, stg0.8035/30, stg0.8005/000
EUR/USD $1.3500, $1.3545-50, $1.3600, $1.3650
USD/JPY Y102.25, Y102.35, Y102.50, Y102.75-80, Y102.90-103.00
GBP/USD $1.6725, $1.6765, $1.6850
EUR/GBP stg0.8150, stg0.8220
USD/CHF Chf0.8905
AUD/USD $0.9275-80, $0.9300
USD/CAD C$1.0900-15, C$1.0925, C$1.0945-50, C$1.0985-90
Economic
calendar (GMT0):
05:00 Japan Leading Economic Index April 107.1 106.2 106.6
05:00 Japan Coincident Index April 114.5 111.1
06:00 Germany Trade Balance April 14.8 14.3 17.7
06:00 Germany Industrial Production s.a. (MoM) April -0.5% +0.4% +0.2%
06:00 Germany Industrial Production (YoY) April +3.0% +1.8%
06:00 Germany Current Account April 19.5 18.4
06:45 France Trade Balance, bln April -4.9 -5.0 -3.9
07:00 Switzerland Foreign Currency Reserves April 438.9 444.4
07:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (MoM) May +0.1% +0.2% +0.3%
07:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (YoY) May 0.0% +0.1% +0.2%
08:30 United Kingdom Consumer Inflation Expectations Quarter II +2.8% +2.6%
The U.S.
dollar traded lower against the most major currencies after the European
Central Bank’ interest rate cut. The European Central Bank cut its interest rate
to 0.15% from 0.25%. Analysts had expected a cut to 0.1%.
The ECB
also cut its marginal lending to 0.40% from 0.75% and reduced its deposit rate
to -0.10% from 0.0%. The European Central Bank is the world’s first major
central bank to use a negative rate. The deposit rate of -0.10% means that
commercial bank will be charged for holding their reserves. This measure should
spur commercial banks to ramp up lending.
Investors
are awaiting the U.S. jobs market data later in the day.
The New
Zealand dollar increased against the U.S dollar. The kiwi was supported by after
the European Central Bank’ interest rate cut. No economic data was published in
New Zealand.
The Australian
dollar traded lower against the U.S. dollar after the release of the AI
Group/HIA construction index in Australia, but later recovered its losses. The AI
Group/HIA construction index for Australia increased to 46.7 in May from 45.9
in April. The index still remained in contractionary territory due to the
weakness in engineering and commercial construction. Figures above 50 indicate
expansion while figures below signal contraction.
The
Japanese yen traded higher against the U.S. dollar after the European Central
Bank’ interest rate cut. Japan’s leading economic index declined to 106.6 in
April from 107.1 in March, but exceeding expectations for a decline to 106.2.
Japan’s coincident
index slid to 111.1 in April from 114.5 in March.
EUR/USD:
the currency pair traded mixed
GBP/USD:
the currency pair traded mixed
USD/JPY:
the currency pair declined to Y102.25
The most
important news that are expected (GMT0):
12:30 Canada Labor Productivity Quarter I +1.0% +0.7%
12:30 Canada Employment May -28.9 +12.3
12:30 Canada Unemployment rate May 6.9% 6.9%
12:30 U.S. Average hourly earnings May 0.0% +0.2%
12:30 U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls May 288 219
12:30 U.S. Unemployment Rate May 6.3% 6.4%
EUR / USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.3751 (4505)
$1.3720 (4418)
$1.3674 (1351)
Price at time of writing this review: $ 1.3657
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.3638 (5646)
$1.3584 (4462)
$1.3544 (5474)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 6 is 62208 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3850 (6552);
- Overall open interest on the PUT optionswith the expiration date June, 6 is 78666 contracts, with the maximum number of contractswith strike price $1,3500 (8454);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.26 versus 1.30 from the previous trading day according to data from June, 5.
GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.7100 (1852)
$1.7000 (2704)
$1.6901 (2117)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.6809
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.6700 (2602)
$1.6600 (2477)
$1.6500 (974)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 6 is 24576 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,7000 (2704);
- Overall open interest on the PUT optionswith the expiration date June, 6 is 26897 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,6700 (2602);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.09 versus 1.09 from the previous trading day according to data from June, 5.
* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.
EUR/USD $1,3662 +0,46%
GBP/USD $1,6813 +0,46%
USD/CHF Chf0,8912 -0,64%
USD/JPY Y102,41 -0,30%
EUR/JPY Y139,93 +0,17%
GBP/JPY Y172,18 +0,17%
AUD/USD $0,9335 +0,64%
NZD/USD $0,8494 +0,89%
USD/CAD C$1,0922 -0,16%
05:00 Japan Leading Economic Index April 107.1 106.2
05:00 Japan Coincident Index April 114.5
06:00 Germany Trade Balance April 14.8 14.3
06:00 Germany Industrial Production s.a. (MoM) April -0.5% +0.4%
06:00 Germany Industrial Production (YoY) April +3.0%
06:00 Germany Current Account April 19.5
06:45 France Trade Balance, bln April -4.9 -5.0
07:00 Switzerland Foreign Currency Reserves April 438.9
07:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (MoM) May +0.1% +0.2%
07:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (YoY) May 0.0% +0.1%
08:30 United Kingdom Consumer Inflation Expectations Quarter II +2.8%
12:30 Canada Labor Productivity Quarter I +1.0% +0.7%
12:30 Canada Employment May -28.9 +12.3
12:30 Canada Unemployment rate May 6.9% 6.9%
12:30 U.S. Average workweek May 34.5
12:30 U.S. Average hourly earnings May 0.0% +0.2%
12:30 U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls May 288 219
12:30 U.S. Unemployment Rate May 6.3% 6.4%
19:00 U.S. Consumer Credit April 17.5 16.6