(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,3383 +0,08%
GBP/USD $1,6850 -0,19%
USD/CHF Chf0,9074 -0,20%
USD/JPY Y102,11 -0,49%
EUR/JPY Y136,66 -0,40%
GBP/JPY Y172,05 -0,68%
AUD/USD $0,9347 +0,47%
NZD/USD $0,8472 +0,13%
USD/CAD C$1,0915 -0,40%
(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)
01:30 Australia Unemployment rate July 6.0% 6.0%
01:30 Australia Changing the number of employed July 15.9 13.5
05:45 Switzerland SECO Consumer Climate Quarter II 1 4
06:00 Germany Industrial Production s.a. (MoM) June -1.8% +1.4%
06:00 Germany Industrial Production (YoY) June +1.3%
06:45 France Trade Balance, bln June -4.9 -5.0
07:00 Switzerland Foreign Currency Reserves July 449.6
11:00 United Kingdom Asset Purchase Facility 375 375
11:00 United Kingdom BoE Interest Rate Decision 0.50% 0.50%
11:00 United Kingdom MPC Rate Statement
11:45 Eurozone ECB Interest Rate Decision 0.15% 0.15%
12:30 Eurozone ECB Press Conference
12:30 Canada Building Permits (MoM) June +13.8% -1.8%
12:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims July 302 305
14:00 Canada Ivey Purchasing Managers Index July 46.9 54.1
19:00 U.S. Consumer Credit June 19.6 18.3
23:50 Japan Current Account (adjusted), bln June 384.6 110.0
The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies after the trade balance data in the U.S. The U.S. trade deficit declined to $41.5 billion in June from a deficit of $44.7 billion in May, beating expectations for a decrease to $44.2 billion. May's figure was revised down from a deficit of $44.4 billion.
Tensions over Ukraine weighed on markets. Poland's foreign minister warned that Russia is about to increase its presence along its border with Ukraine. Investors preferred safe-haven assets.
The euro traded lower against the U.S. dollar after the weak factory orders in Germany. Factory orders in Germany dropped 3.2% in June, missing forecasts of a 0.5% increase, after a 1.6% decline in May. That was the biggest drop since September 2011.
May's figure was revised up from a 1.7% fall.
The British pound traded lower against the U.S. dollar after the weaker-than-expected industrial production in the UK. Industrial production increased 0.3% in June, missing expectations for a 0.6% rise, after a 0.6% decline in May. May's figure was revised up from a 0.7% decrease.
On a yearly basis, industrial production rose 1.2% in June, missing expectations for an increase of 1.5%, after 2.3% gain in May.
Manufacturing production climbed 0.3% in June, missing forecasts of a 0.7% rise, after a 1.3% fall in May.
On a yearly basis, manufacturing production jumped 1.9% in June, after a 3.7% increase. Economists had expected a rise of 2.1%.
National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) estimated UK GDP grew by 0.6% in the three months to July, after a 0.9% growth in the previous three months.
The Canadian dollar rose against the U.S. dollar due to the better-than-expected trade data from Canada. Canada's trade surplus jumped to C$1.86 billion in June from C$0.58 billion in May, beating expectations for a deficit of C$0.10 billion. May's figure was revised up from a deficit of C$0.15 billion.
The Swiss franc traded lower against the U.S. dollar. Consumer price index in Switzerland declined 0.4% in July, beating forecasts of a 0.5% fall, after 0.1% decrease in June.
On a yearly basis, Switzerland's consumer price index remained flat in July, in line with expectations.
The New Zealand dollar declined to 2-month lows against the U.S dollar after the labour market data from New Zealand, but later recovered its losses. The number of employed people in New Zealand increased 0.4% in the second quarter, missing expectations for a 0.7% rise, after a 0.9% gain in the first quarter.
New Zealand's unemployment rate dropped to 5.6% in the second quarter from 6.0% in the first quarter, beating expectations for a decrease to 5.8%.
The Australian dollar traded higher against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major economic reports in Australia.
The Japanese yen traded higher against the U.S. dollar due to increasing demand for safe-haven currency. Japan's leading index climbed to 105.5 in June from 104.8 in May, in line with expectations. May's figure was revised down from 105.7.
The coincident index in June fell to 109.4 in June from 111.2 in May.
EUR/USD $1.3380, $1.3400, $1.3465, $1.3500, $1.3600, $1.3680
USD/JPY Y102.00, Y102.30, Y102.80
GBP/USD $1.7000
AUD/USD $0.9300
USD CAD C$1.0800, C$1.0895, C$1.1000
Economic calendar (GMT0):
(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)
05:00 Japan Leading Economic Index June 104.8 105.5 105.5
05:00 Japan Coincident Index June 111.3 109.4
06:00 Germany Factory Orders s.a. (MoM) June -1.6% Revised From -1.7% +0.5% -3.2%
06:00 Germany Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY) June +5.5% -4.3%
07:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index July -0.6% +1.4%
07:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index 3m Y/Y July +8.8% +10.2%
07:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (MoM) July -0.1% -0.5% -0.4%
07:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (YoY) July 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
08:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (MoM) June -0.7% +0.6% +0.3%
08:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (YoY) June +2.3% +1.5% +1.2%
08:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (MoM) June -1.3% +0.7% +0.3%
08:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (YoY) June +3.7% +2.1% +1.9%
The U.S. dollar traded higher against the most major currencies ahead of the trade balance data in the U.S. The U.S. trade deficit is expected to decline to $44.2 billion in June from a deficit of $44.4 billion in May.
The euro decreased against the U.S. dollar after the weak factory orders in Germany. Factory orders in Germany dropped 3.2% in June, missing forecasts of a 0.5% increase, after a 1.6% decline in May. That was the biggest drop since September 2011.
May's figure was revised up from a 1.7% fall.
The British pound declined against the U.S. dollar after the weaker-than-expected industrial production in the UK. Industrial production increased 0.3% in June, missing expectations for a 0.6% rise, after a 0.6% decline in May. May's figure was revised up from a 0.7% decrease.
On a yearly basis, industrial production rose 1.2% in June, missing expectations for an increase of 1.5%, after 2.3% gain in May.
Manufacturing production climbed 0.3% in June, missing forecasts of a 0.7% rise, after a 1.3% fall in May.
On a yearly basis, manufacturing production jumped 1.9% in June, after a 3.7% increase. Economists had expected a rise of 2.1%.
The Swiss franc dropped against the U.S. dollar. Consumer price index in Switzerland declined 0.4% in July, beating forecasts of a 0.5% fall, after 0.1% decrease in June.
On a yearly basis, Switzerland's consumer price index remained flat in July, in line with expectations.
EUR/USD: the currency pair declined to $1.3332
GBP/USD: the currency pair fell to $1.6820
USD/JPY: the currency pair was down to Y102.29
The most important news that are expected (GMT0):
12:30 Canada Trade balance, billions June -0.2 -0.1
12:30 U.S. International Trade, bln June -44.4 -44.2
14:00 United Kingdom NIESR GDP Estimate July +0.9%
14:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories July -3.7
23:30 Australia AiG Performance of Construction Index July 51.8
EUR/USD
Offers $1.3530, $1.3500-10, $1.3485, $1.3445-50, $1.3400
Bids $1.3320, $1.3300, $1.3295
GBP/USD
Offers $1.6700, $1.6926, $1.6900
Bids $1.6800, $1.6785/80, $1.6750, $1.6700-693
AUD/USD
Offers $0.9400, $0.9375/80, $0.9350
Bids $0.9275, $0.9250, $0.9200
EUR/JPY
Offers Y138.80, Y138.50, Y138.00, Y137.30
Bids Y136.75, Y136.60, Y136.35, Y136.00
USD/JPY
Offers Y104.00, Y103.50, Y103.15, Y102.90
Bids Y102.30, Y102.25/20, Y102.00, Y101.80
EUR/GBP
Offers stg0.8100, stg0.8000, stg0.7985, stg0.7960
Bids stg0.7900, stg0.7885, stg0.7870
The Office for National Statistics in the UK released industrial production data. Industrial production increased 0.3% in June, missing expectations for a 0.6% rise, after a 0.6% decline in May. May's figure was revised up from a 0.7% decrease.
On a yearly basis, industrial production rose 1.2% in June, missing expectations for an increase of 1.5%, after 2.3% gain in May.
Manufacturing production climbed 0.3% in June, missing forecasts of a 0.7% rise, after a 1.3% fall in May.
On a yearly basis, manufacturing production jumped 1.9% in June, after a 3.7% increase. Economists had expected a rise of 2.1%.
EUR/USD $1.3380, $1.3400, $1.3465, $1.3500, $1.3600, $1.3680
USD/JPY Y102.00, Y102.30, Y102.80
GBP/USD $1.7000
AUD/USD $0.9300
USD CAD C$1.0800, C$1.0895, C$1.1000
Economic calendar (GMT0):
(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)
05:00 Japan Leading Economic Index June 104.8 105.5 105.5
05:00 Japan Coincident Index June 111.3 109.4
06:00 Germany Factory Orders s.a. (MoM) June -1.6% Revised From -1.7% +0.5% -3.2%
06:00 Germany Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY) June +5.5% -4.3%
07:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index July -0.6% +1.4%
07:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index 3m Y/Y July +8.8% +10.2%
07:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (MoM) July -0.1% -0.5% -0.4%
07:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (YoY) July 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
08:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (MoM) June -0.7% +0.6% +0.3%
08:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (YoY) June +2.3% +1.5% +1.2%
08:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (MoM) June -1.3% +0.7% +0.3%
08:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (YoY) June +3.7% +2.1% +1.9%
The U.S. dollar traded higher against the most major currencies. The U.S. currency was supported by yesterday's better-than-expected ISM non-manufacturing PMI and factory orders in the U.S. The ISM non-manufacturing PMI increased to 58.7 in July, from 56.0 in June, exceeding expectations for a rise to 56.6. That was the highest level since January 2008.
Factory orders in the U.S. jumped 1.1% in June, beating expectations for a 0.6% rise, after a 0.6% fall in May.
The New Zealand dollar declined to 2-month lows against the U.S dollar after the labour market data from New Zealand. The number of employed people in New Zealand increased 0.4% in the second quarter, missing expectations for a 0.7% rise, after a 0.9% gain in the first quarter.
New Zealand's unemployment rate dropped to 5.6% in the second quarter from 6.0% in the first quarter, beating expectations for a decrease to 5.8%.
The Australian dollar rose against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major economic reports in Australia.
The Japanese yen traded mixed against the U.S. dollar after the economic data from Japan. Japan's leading index climbed to 105.5 in June from 104.8 in May, in line with expectations. May's figure was revised down from 105.7.
The coincident index in June fell to 109.4 in June from 111.2 in May.
EUR/USD: the currency pair declined to $1.3360
GBP/USD: the currency pair decreased to $1.6870
USD/JPY: the currency pair traded mixed
NZD/USD: the currency pair was down to $0.8421
The most important news that are expected (GMT0):
12:30 Canada Trade balance, billions June -0.2 -0.1
12:30 U.S. International Trade, bln June -44.4 -44.2
14:00 United Kingdom NIESR GDP Estimate July +0.9%
14:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories July -3.7
23:30 Australia AiG Performance of Construction Index July 51.8
EUR / USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.3503 (2985)
$1.3457 (2914)
$1.3417 (1205)
Price at time of writing this review: $ 1.3365
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.3333 (3220)
$1.3294 (2935)
$1.3248 (1332)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date August, 8 is 34510 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3600 (4223);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date August, 8 is 33929 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3500 (5867);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.98 versus 0.98 from the previous trading day according to data from August, 5
GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.7100 (2740)
$1.7000 (1146)
$1.6902 (926)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.6866
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.6799 (3815)
$1.6700 (1096)
$1.6600 (431)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date August, 8 is 19683 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,7100 (2740);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date August, 8 is 26370 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,6800 (3815);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.34 versus 1.33 from the previous trading day according to data from August, 5
* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.