Notícias do Mercado

16 setembro 2013
  • 14:45

    Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

    EUR/USD $1.3215, $1.3240, $1.3250, $1.3280, $1.3300, $1.3325, $1.3345

    USD/JPY Y97.90, Y98.50, Y99.20, Y99.30, Y99.40, Y99.50, Y100.00, Y101.00

    GBP/USD $1.5750, $1.5860

    GBP/AUD A$1.7150

    USD/CHF Chf0.9450

    EUR/CHF Chf1.2355, Chf1.2400

    AUD/USD $0.9200, $0.9210, $0.9300, $0.9315, $0.9400

    USD/CAD C$1.0245, C$1.0350

  • 14:15

    U.S.: Capacity Utilization, August 77.8% (forecast 77.8%)

  • 14:15

    U.S.: Industrial Production (MoM), August +0.4% (forecast +0.5%)

  • 13:30

    U.S.: NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index , September 6.3 (forecast 9.2)

  • 13:30

    Canada: Foreign Securities Purchases, July +6.09 (forecast -2.23)

  • 13:15

    European session: the euro against the dollar has increased markedly

    Data

    00:00 Japan Bank holiday

    08:00 Eurozone ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks

    09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI, Y/Y (Finally) August +1.3% +1.3% +1.3%

    09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI August -0.5% +0.1% +0.1%

    09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI ex EFAT, Y/Y August +1.1% +1.1% +1.1%


    The dollar fell sharply against most major currencies , which in the first place was due to the refusal of the former U.S. Treasury Secretary Larry Summers to participate in the race for the post of chairman of the Federal Reserve System. In a letter to Barack Obama , he wrote that "I have reluctantly decided that any process of approval and adoption of my candidacy will be in a very difficult and acrimonious atmosphere that is not in the interest of the Fed ." Obama issued a statement the former head of the Ministry of Finance . Note also that the appointment of Summers argued by some influential Democrats . Experts pointed out that for Summers were most likely to change as the head of the Federal Reserve Ben Bernanke , whose mandate expires in January 2014. Now that Summers out of the race for the post of head of the Fed , the focus is now aimed at Janet Yellen , the current Deputy Chairman of the Federal Reserve as the main candidate for a seat Bernanke. If the appointment is approved Yellen , the markets seem to lay in the prices of a clear continuation of the current policy regime Bernanke , suggesting a less aggressive approach to the " rapid narrowing ."

    We also add that there is to assess the dynamics of the euro against the dollar , we can see that a small influence on the bidding had Draghi speech and data for the euro area . European Central Bank President Mario Draghi reiterated benchmark for future policy ECB interest rates remain at current or lower levels for an extended period, as the economy is still fragile. Speaking at a conference organized by the European business lobbyists , Draghi urged eurozone countries to stimulate economic growth , employment and competitiveness in a region where economic recovery is still at an early stage. According to Draghi , a program of bond purchases in the secondary markets to improve market conditions helped to restore the normal functioning of markets and eliminated the uncertainty that has paralyzed the economy of some countries.

    As for the data, they showed that on an annualized basis the August consumer price index rose by 1.3 % (the same as the preliminary estimate), while slowing the pace of its growth compared to July , when the value of this index increased by 1 , 6%. Monthly inflation , meanwhile, was 0.1 in August , which completely corresponded to experts . Recall that in July consumer price index fell by 0.5 %. We also add that in the same period last year the figure was 2.6 %. The data also showed that core consumer price index , which excludes prices of energy , food, alcohol and tobacco rose 1.1 percent, while confirming the assessment of experts, and was flat compared to the previous month .

    Value of the pound rose sharply against the dollar, also responding to the gathering of the race of the candidates for the post of head of the Fed . Meanwhile, we add that the course of trade is also affected by information from Rightmove. As it became known today, online real estate portal Rightmove raised its forecast for UK house prices , which was primarily due to the fact that demand continues to exceed supply , amid concerns that the new scheme the government to increase the activity in the housing market will fuel the "bubble" real estate. The agency Rightmove expects housing prices in the country will grow by 6 percent this year , which is much faster than the earlier forecast of 4 percent growth. However , the market continues to record a fall in prices , which is part of the summer traffic. In September, house prices fell by 1.5 percent on a monthly basis , thus reaching the level of 245,495 pounds, which was followed , after falling 1.8 percent in August. Compared to the same period last year, housing prices increased by 4.5 percent in September, which was slower than the 5.5 - percent growth , recorded in August. In addition, it was reported that the number of new sellers in the housing market fell by 9 percent from last month , dropping to its lowest level since February of this year.


    EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.3373

    GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.5958 , and then retreated to $ 1.5910

    USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair fell to Y98.68


    At 12:30 GMT Canada will report on the volume of transactions with foreign securities in July. Also at this time, the U.S. will present manufacturing Empire Manufacturing Index for September. At 13:15 GMT the U.S. will release the capacity utilization rate for August, as well as announce the change in the volume of industrial production in August.


  • 13:00

    Orders

    EUR/USD

    Offers $1.3452, $1.3400, $1.3382

    Bids $1.3330/20, $1.3305/00, $1.3285/80, $1.3255/50


    GBP/USD

    Offers $1.6000, $1.5975/95, $1.5958

    Bids $1.5930/25, $1.5910/00, $1.5880


    AUD/USD

    Offers $0.9500, $0.9470/75, $0.9440-60, $0.9415/20, $0.9400

    Bids $0.9275/70, $0.9225/20, $0.9216, $0.9205/00


    EUR/GBP

    Offers stg0.8460/65, stg0.8440/50, stg0.8425/30, stg0.8390/400

    Bids stg0.8350, stg0.8320, stg0.8300


    EUR/JPY

    Offers Y133.80, Y133.50, Y133.00/10, Y132.70, Y132.50

    Bids Y131.50, Y131.30/20, Y130.80, Y130.00/9.80, Y129.50


    USD/JPY

    Offers Y100.80, Y100.60/65, Y100.20/30, Y100.00

    Bids Y98.65/60, Y98.00, Y97.80, Y97.65


  • 10:24

    Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

    EUR/USD $1.3215, $1.3240, $1.3250, $1.3280, $1.3300, $1.3325, $1.3345

    USD/JPY Y97.90, Y98.50, Y99.20, Y99.30, Y99.40, Y99.50, Y100.00, Y101.00

    GBP/USD $1.5750, $1.5860

    GBP/AUD A$1.7150

    USD/CHF Chf0.9450

    EUR/CHF Chf1.2355, Chf1.2400

    AUD/USD $0.9200, $0.9210, $0.9300, $0.9315, $0.9400

    USD/CAD C$1.0245, C$1.0350

  • 10:00

    Eurozone: Harmonized CPI ex EFAT, Y/Y, August +1.1% (forecast +1.1%)

  • 10:00

    Eurozone: Harmonized CPI, August +0.1% (forecast +0.1%)

  • 10:00

    Eurozone: Harmonized CPI, Y/Y, August +1.3% (forecast +1.3%)

  • 07:00

    Asian session: The dollar dropped

    00:00 Japan Bank holiday


    The dollar dropped to its lowest in more than two weeks versus the euro as the exit of former Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers from the race to lead the Federal Reserve damped expectations for an early halt to expansionary monetary policy. Summers until yesterday was the president’s favorite to take over from Bernanke. The Syria debate worked against Summers, giving those opposed to his nomination time to keep pressure on the administration, according to a person familiar with the process who asked for anonymity.

    A report due today is forecast to show manufacturing in the New York region expanded at a faster pace in September with a general economic index rising to 9 from 8.2 last month, according to the median in a Bloomberg News survey. Separate data may show industrial production grew 0.4 percent in August, according to a separate poll of economists.

    Gains in the euro may be limited before European Central Bank President Mario Draghi speaks in Berlin today. Draghi said on Sept. 12 that policy makers are committed to keeping interest rates low for an extended period and the economy doesn’t justify the rise in some money-market rates.

    The yen slid against the growth-sensitive currencies of Australia and New Zealand as the U.S. builds support for a plan to eliminate Syrian chemical weapons. Financial markets are closed in Japan today for a holiday.


    EUR / USD: during the Asian session the pair rose to $ 1.3370

    GBP / USD: during the Asian session, the pair rose to $ 1.5960

    USD / JPY: during the Asian session the pair fell to Y98.80


  • 06:00

    Schedule for today, Monday, Sep 16’2013:

    00:00 Japan Bank holiday

    08:00 Eurozone ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks

    09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI, Y/Y (Finally) August +1.3% +1.3%

    09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI August -0.5% +0.1%

    09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI ex EFAT, Y/Y August +1.1% +1.1%

    12:30 Canada Foreign Securities Purchases July -15.41 -2.23

    12:30 U.S. NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index September 8.24 9.2

    13:15 U.S. Capacity Utilization August 77.6% 77.8%

    13:15 U.S. Industrial Production (MoM) August 0.0% +0.5%



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