Notícias do Mercado

5 dezembro 2013
  • 16:40

    Oil: an overview of the market situation

    Oil prices rose slightly , closer to $ 111 per barrel (Brent), as many traders have begun to analyze , whether positive U.S. data prompt the Federal Reserve to start reducing its bond buying program .

    Published today a report showed that U.S. gross domestic product grew by 3.6 per cent per annum in the third quarter , compared with the initial estimate of 2.8 % level , and experts forecast at around 3.1 %. It was also reported that the number of initial claims for unemployment benefits fell by 23 thousand - up to 298 000 , while fixing the third consecutive weekly decline .

    Prices continue to provide support and information from the Administration 's energy , which were published earlier this week . They showed that oil stocks fell by 5.6 million barrels for the week ended November 29 , closer to the level of 36 million barrels.

    Traders are also awaiting deteriorating weather conditions in the North Sea , which threaten to disrupt oil supplies from the region. Until now , however, is only one small oil platform was shut down by the storm .

    The course of trade also affects the decision of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), which yesterday kept its oil output at 30 million barrels per day. According to their estimates, the price of Brent crude will average $ 105 in 2014.

    " Some members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries , in particular Saudi Arabia , admit the need to reduce production later in 2014 to prevent overproduction ," analysts said BNP Paribas SA and corporations Citigroup Inc. Iraq, Libya and Iran said they plan to increase exports in the next few months.

    The price of January futures on U.S. light crude oil WTI (Light Sweet Crude Oil) rose to $ 97.94 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

    January futures price for North Sea Brent crude oil mixture rose 10 cents to $ 111.67 a barrel on the London exchange ICE Futures Europe.

  • 16:20

    Gold: an overview of the market situation

    Gold prices dropped significantly , losing more than 1.5 percent, as today's events have forced many investors to reconsider their views on the program of quantitative easing, the Fed . Even despite the fact that the European Central Bank and Bank of England opposed the introduction of new monetary measures , the markets have been fixated on U.S. economic data and waited at least some signals about when the Fed may begin to reduce its purchase program bonds.

    Data published by the Ministry of Commerce showed that the U.S. economy in the third quarter rose more than previously reported, due to the very large growth stocks since the beginning of 1998 consumer spending growth has stalled . In annual terms, GDP growth in the third quarter was 3.6 %, above the previously reported 2.8%. This is the highest growth in the first quarter of 2012 . The median estimate of economists was 3.1%. Ratings were within 2.2% -3.6 %. Third , the final estimate of GDP growth in the third quarter will be released on December 20. Recall that in the second quarter , GDP grew by 2.5% in the first - 1.1%.

    Another report showed that the number of initial claims for unemployment benefits fell by 23,000 and amounted to a seasonally adjusted 298,000 in the week ended November 30. Economists had forecast 322,000 new claims . Value for the previous week was revised up to 321,000 from 316,000 initially sounded . The four-week moving average of claims , which smooths the volatile weekly data , fell to 322,250 . Analyst Ministry of Labour stated that there were no unusual factors affecting the final report . Although he noted that such holidays as Veterans Day and Thanksgiving - that do not always fall in the same week of the month - may complicate the seasonal adjustments. Since seasonal factors create some volatility in the numbers , economists warn against to attach great importance to data on unemployment in November and December.

    Given these positive data , the head of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta's Lockhart said that the question of reducing the rate of asset purchases may take place in December or on other upcoming policy meeting of the Federal Reserve System. Lockhart was careful in his statements , and said nothing about the fact whether he supports reducing QE at the next meeting on December 17-18 . Lockhart said he would " wait for evidence of momentum in the economy , as well as the absence of factors that may limit or even overshadow the progress."

    Also today it was announced that the gold reserves in the SPDR Gold Trust fell by 2.70 tonnes yesterday - up to 838.71 million tonnes ( the lowest level since the beginning of 2009)

    The cost of the December gold futures on the COMEX today dropped to $ 1223.90 per ounce.

  • 06:25

    Commodities. Daily history for Dec 4’2013:

    Oil (WTI) +1.18% $97.12

    Gold +2.02% $1245.00

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