U.S. stocks retreated for a fourth day, the longest since February, amid growing uncertainty about the U.K.'s future in the European Union and as investors awaited Wednesday's Federal Reserve announcement.
Equities fell, but not before staging a furious rebound amid gains in technology and consumer staples shares, rising from the day's lows in the final hour to pare much of the session's losses that reached as much as 0.7 percent in the S&P 500 Index.
The selloff is occurring just days after the S&P 500 hit its highest in almost 11 months, buoyed by optimism that low rates, steady job gains and modest growth would continue to support rising stock prices. Sentiment has shifted, with the potential fallout from a June 23 vote on Britain's membership of the EU increasingly unsettling global markets. Britain's largest-selling newspaper now backs a so-called Brexit, while five polls in the past 24 hours put the "Leave" campaign ahead of "Remain."
As policy makers and investors scrutinize data to weigh U.S. growth, a report today showed retail sales rose more than forecast in May, indicating consumer spending will help boost second-quarter growth. A separate gauge showed inflation pressures are building. The costs of goods imported into the U.S. climbed 1.4 percent in May, the biggest gain in four years.
Although traders are pricing in zero chance of a rate move tomorrow, Chair Janet Yellen's commentary afterward will be parsed for hints on the trajectory of borrowing costs. At least even odds for a rate increase have been pushed out to February 2017.
The S&P 500 had rallied as much as 16 percent from a 22-month low in February to within 0.6 percent of an all-time high, before its four-day slide amid growth worries and Brexit anxiety. The benchmark is less than 3 percent from its record set nearly 13 months ago, and has gone the longest without a fresh high outside of a bear market since 1984.
"Brexit is adding fuel to the fire for risk-averse investors," said Jasper Lawler, an analyst at CMC Markets Plc in London. "Markets are already worried about slowing global growth and the inability of central-bank policy to stem the decline. Global growth concerns are present because we don't know where the Fed is on that, but depending on the language they use, this could cause the market to gain again."
International Monetary Fund (IMF) First Deputy Managing Director David Lipton said on Tuesday that China should accelerate the implementation of reforms.
"The near-term growth outlook has turned more buoyant due to recent policy support. The medium-term outlook, however, is more uncertain due to rapidly rising credit, structural excess capacity, and the increasingly large, opaque, and interconnected financial sector," he said.
"Addressing these vulnerabilities and ensuring the transition to more robust, sustainable, medium-term growth requires decisively implementing a pro-active and comprehensive policy package in a number of areas," Lipton added.
He pointed out that corporate debt in China was rising.
The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) released its small-business optimism index for the U.S. on Tuesday. The index rose to 93.8 in May from 93.6 in April.
4 of 10 sub-indexes increased last month, 4 sub-indexes fell, while 2 were unchanged.
"The bottom line is that without an empowered small business sector, the economy will grow at a mediocre pace," NFIB Chief Economist Bill Dunkelberg said.
"Politicians in Washington credit any insignificant growth in the economy to their policies, but realistically, it's the increase in the population. At this point, we should expect the same slow growth for the rest of the year," he added.
Stock closed lower on uncertainty over Britain's membership in the European Union (EU). According to the latest polls, the majority of Britons would support Britain's exit from the European Union (EU).
Market participants also eyed the economic data from the Eurozone. Eurostat released its industrial production data for the Eurozone on Tuesday. Industrial production in the Eurozone climbed 1.1% in April, exceeding expectations for a 0.8% gain, after a 0.7% drop in March. March's figure was revised up from a 0.8% decrease.
On a yearly basis, Eurozone's industrial production rise 2.0% in April, beating expectations for a 1.4% rise, after a 0.2% increase in March.
Eurozone's employment increased by 0.3% in the first quarter, after a 0.3% rise in the fourth quarter.
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) released the consumer price inflation data for the U.K. on Tuesday. The U.K. consumer price index remained unchanged at 0.3% year-on-year in May. Analysts had expected to rise to 0.4%.
The increase was mainly driven by rises in transport costs, restaurant and hotel bills and the price of telecommunication services.
On a monthly basis, U.K. consumer prices increased 0.2% in May, missing expectations for a 0.3% gain, after a 0.1% rise in April.
Consumer price inflation excluding food, energy, alcohol and tobacco prices remained unchanged at 1.2% year-on-year in May, missing expectations for an increase to 1.3%.
The consumer price inflation is below the Bank of England's 2% target.
Indexes on the close:
Name Price Change Change %
FTSE 100 5,923.53 -121.44 -2.01 %
DAX 9,519.2 -138.24 -1.43 %
CAC 40 4,130.33 -96.69 -2.29 %
Japan's Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry released its final industrial production data on Tuesday. Final industrial production in Japan climb 0.5% in April, up from the preliminary estimate of a 0.3% rise, after a 3.8% increase in March.
Industrial shipments rose 1.5% in April, while inventories slid 1.7%.
On a yearly basis, Japan's industrial production was down 3.3% in April, up from the preliminary estimate of a 3.5% drop, after a 0.2% rise in March.
The U.S. Commerce Department released the business inventories data on Tuesday. The U.S. business inventories rose 0.1% in April, missing expectations for a 0.2% gain, after a 0.3% increase in March. March's figure was revised down from a 0.4% rise.
Retail inventories fell 0.1% in April, wholesale inventories were up 0.6%, while manufacturing inventories decreased 0.1%.
Retail sales climbed 1.4% in April, while manufacturing sales were up 0.6%.
The business inventories/sales ratio declined to 1.40 months in April from 1.41 months in March. The business inventories /sales ratio is a measure of how long it would take to clear shelves.
Polish equity market closed lower on Tuesday. The broad market measure, the WIG Index, fell by 0.86%. All sectors, but for chemicals (+1.38%), were down, with food stocks (-2.32%) lagging behind.
The large-cap stocks' measure, the WIG30 Index lost 0.94%. A majority of the index components recorded declines. Oil refiner LOTOS (WSE: LTS) and railway freight transport operator PKP CARGO (WSE: PKP) were the weakest names, tumbling by 4.5% and 4.34% respectively. They were followed by clothing retailer LPP (WSE: LPP), videogame developer CD PROJEKT (WSE: CDR), bank MBANK (WSE: MBK) and agricultural producer KERNEL (WSE: KER), which plunged by 3.12%-3.42%. On the other side of the ledger, chemical producer GRUPA AZOTY (WSE: ATT) led a handful of gainers, as the stock jumped by 6.38% after four consecutive sessions of declines. Other advancers included three banking sector names PKO BP (WSE: PKO), BZ WBK (WSE: BZW) and MILLENNIUM (WSE: MIL), adding between 0.42% and 1.06%.
Major U.S. stock-indexes fell on Tuesday as investors kept to the sidelines ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting and a referendum on Britain's European Union membership. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will commence its two-day meeting on Tuesday to decide whether the U.S. economy has recovered enough to be able to absorb an interest rate hike. While traders have discounted a hike this month, they will parse Fed Chair Janet Yellen's speech at a conference on Wednesday for clues on the health of the economy and the trajectory of hikes.
Most all of Dow stocks in negative area (22 of 30). Top looser - American Express Company (AXP, -2,79%). Top looser - General Electric Company (GE, +0,62%).
All S&P sectors in negative area. Top looser - Conglomerates (-1,2%).
At the moment:
Dow 17546.00 -93.00 -0.53%
S&P 500 2059.25 -10.50 -0.51%
Nasdaq 100 4398.25 -20.50 -0.46%
Oil 48.25 -0.63 -1.29%
Gold 1288.30 +1.40 +0.11%
U.S. 10yr 1.60 -0.01
The U.S. Labor Department released its import and export prices data on Tuesday. The U.S. import price index increased by 1.4% in May, exceeding expectations for a 0.7% rise, after a 0.7% gain in April. It was the largest rise since March 2012.
April's figure was revised up from a 0.3% increase.
The rise was mainly driven by higher prices for fuel imports, which jumped 16.2% in May.
U.S. export prices climbed by 1.1% in May, after a 0.5% rise in April.
On the broad market we may clearly see a continuation of the weak sentiment. Riskier assets like stocks become cheaper, the safer ones, as the Japanese yen and German bonds more expensive. And here curiosity, the yields of German bonds fell today below 0 percent (first time ever) are they have negative interest.
The causes of this phenomenon should be mainly seen in market fundamentals, particularly damaging for markets is spectrum of Brexit.
In these sentiments was also start of trading on Wall Street. Withdrawal is not big, but at the last session the problem were rather weak endings, than neutral beginnings. Chart of the S&P500 index indicates that the departure from the region of the record of all time and the upper limit of several months of consolidation gaining momentum.
U.S. stock-index futures fell.
Global Stocks:
Nikkei 15,859 -160.18 -1.00%
Hang Seng 20,387.53 -125.46 -0.61%
Shanghai Composite 2,842.92 +9.85 +0.35%
FTSE 5,969.75 -75.22 -1.24%
CAC 4,156.81 -70.21 -1.66%
DAX 9,578.4 -79.04 -0.82%
Crude $48.19 (-1.41%)
Gold $1287.50 (+0.05%)
(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)
ALCOA INC. | AA | 9.26 | -0.06(-0.6438%) | 35432 |
Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ | AMZN | 714 | -1.24(-0.1734%) | 7298 |
American Express Co | AXP | 63.69 | 0.02(0.0314%) | 186 |
AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP | AIG | 54.2 | -0.20(-0.3676%) | 300 |
Apple Inc. | AAPL | 97.32 | -0.02(-0.0205%) | 48789 |
AT&T Inc | T | 40.13 | -0.06(-0.1493%) | 1048 |
Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE | ABX | 20.31 | 0.09(0.4451%) | 99940 |
Caterpillar Inc | CAT | 75.2 | -0.03(-0.0399%) | 1000 |
Chevron Corp | CVX | 101.7 | -0.40(-0.3918%) | 17209 |
Citigroup Inc., NYSE | C | 42.9 | -0.26(-0.6024%) | 45625 |
Exxon Mobil Corp | XOM | 90.26 | -0.33(-0.3643%) | 7121 |
Facebook, Inc. | FB | 114 | 0.05(0.0439%) | 70097 |
Ford Motor Co. | F | 12.99 | 0.01(0.077%) | 23820 |
Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE | FCX | 10.24 | -0.16(-1.5385%) | 128640 |
General Electric Co | GE | 29.76 | -0.07(-0.2347%) | 24818 |
Goldman Sachs | GS | 148 | -0.63(-0.4239%) | 2230 |
Google Inc. | GOOG | 716.04 | -2.32(-0.323%) | 851 |
Home Depot Inc | HD | 127.25 | -0.58(-0.4537%) | 600 |
Intel Corp | INTC | 32.16 | -0.01(-0.0311%) | 6120 |
International Business Machines Co... | IBM | 150.57 | -0.71(-0.4693%) | 894 |
JPMorgan Chase and Co | JPM | 62.65 | -0.62(-0.9799%) | 55954 |
Microsoft Corp | MSFT | 49.99 | -0.15(-0.2992%) | 32137 |
Nike | NKE | 54.76 | -0.15(-0.2732%) | 1350 |
Pfizer Inc | PFE | 34.56 | -0.18(-0.5181%) | 2765 |
Procter & Gamble Co | PG | 82.38 | -0.19(-0.2301%) | 187 |
Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ | SBUX | 55.1 | 0.06(0.109%) | 4870 |
Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ | TSLA | 218.58 | 0.71(0.3259%) | 10865 |
Twitter, Inc., NYSE | TWTR | 14.95 | 0.40(2.7491%) | 155876 |
Visa | V | 78 | -0.40(-0.5102%) | 2027 |
Wal-Mart Stores Inc | WMT | 70.3 | -0.23(-0.3261%) | 935 |
Walt Disney Co | DIS | 97.39 | -0.18(-0.1845%) | 3735 |
Yahoo! Inc., NASDAQ | YHOO | 36.79 | 0.32(0.8774%) | 14453 |
Yandex N.V., NASDAQ | YNDX | 21.2 | -0.28(-1.3035%) | 1410 |
The U.S. Commerce Department released the retail sales data on Tuesday. The U.S. retail sales climbed 0.5% in May, exceeding expectations for a 0.3% rise, after a 1.3% fall in April.
The increase was mainly driven by a rise in sales at service stations.
Sales at clothing retailers were up 0.8% in May, sales at building material and garden equipment stores decreased 1.8%, while sales at auto dealerships rose 0.5%.
Retail sales excluding automobiles rose 0.4% in May, in line with expectations, after a 0.8% gain in April.
Sales at service stations climbed 2.1% in May, while sales at furniture stores fell 0.1%.
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Altria (MO) initiated with a Buy at Berenberg; target $74
The weakening of the zloty, drop of the EURUSD rate and about 1 percent loss of the CAC and the DAX indices did not give the Warsaw market a large opportunities in the first half of the session. Support at the level of 1,748 points has been tested again and again saw the defense of the minimum from the first session of June. The task of the bulls is not easy because the pressure from the environment, which dominated from the end of the previous week and continues to this day, does not allow to expect significant growth without the help of the core markets. However, the attempt to defend 1,750 points confirms that in the area of psychological and technical barriers the market is closer to keep balance. If in the second half of the day the environment will perform a correction movement of current decreases, it may be expected to replicate yesterday's scenario of reflection from the support.
At the halfway point of quotations the WIG20 index reported the level of 1,756 points (-1.31%) with the turnover of PLN 176 mln.
Stock indices traded lower on uncertainty over Britain's membership in the European Union (EU).
Market participants also eyed the economic data from the Eurozone. Eurostat released its industrial production data for the Eurozone on Tuesday. Industrial production in the Eurozone climbed 1.1% in April, exceeding expectations for a 0.8% gain, after a 0.7% drop in March. March's figure was revised up from a 0.8% decrease.
On a yearly basis, Eurozone's industrial production rise 2.0% in April, beating expectations for a 1.4% rise, after a 0.2% increase in March.
Eurozone's employment increased by 0.3% in the first quarter, after a 0.3% rise in the fourth quarter.
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) released the consumer price inflation data for the U.K. on Tuesday. The U.K. consumer price index remained unchanged at 0.3% year-on-year in May. Analysts had expected to rise to 0.4%.
The increase was mainly driven by rises in transport costs, restaurant and hotel bills and the price of telecommunication services.
On a monthly basis, U.K. consumer prices increased 0.2% in May, missing expectations for a 0.3% gain, after a 0.1% rise in April.
Consumer price inflation excluding food, energy, alcohol and tobacco prices remained unchanged at 1.2% year-on-year in May, missing expectations for an increase to 1.3%.
The consumer price inflation is below the Bank of England's 2% target.
Current figures:
Name Price Change Change %
FTSE 100 5,967.77 -77.20 -1.28 %
DAX 9,550.41 -107.03 -1.11 %
CAC 40 4,167.15 -59.87 -1.42 %
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) released its house inflation data for the U.K. on Tuesday. The U.K. house price index increased at a seasonally adjusted rate of 0.6% in April, after a 1.1% gain in March.
On a yearly basis, the U.K. house price index increased at a seasonally adjusted rate of 8.2% in April, after a 8.5% rise in March.
The higher house price inflation England was mainly driven by an increase in prices in the East, the South East and London.
The average house price was £209,000 in April, up from £207,700 in March.
The Italian statistical office Istat released its final consumer price inflation data for Italy on Tuesday. Final consumer prices in Italy increased 0.3% in May, in line with the preliminary reading, after a 0.1% decrease in April.
The monthly increase was mainly driven by rises in prices of tobacco, of non-regulated energy products and of unprocessed food.
On a yearly basis, consumer prices declined 0.3% in May, in line with preliminary reading, after a 0.5% decline in April.
The increase was mainly driven by higher prices for tobacco and unprocessed food.
Final consumer price inflation excluding unprocessed food and energy prices rose to 0.6% year-on-year in May from 0.5% in April.
The Spanish statistical office INE released its final consumer price inflation data on Tuesday. Consumer price inflation in Spain was up 0.5% in May, down from the preliminary reading of a 0.6% growth, after a 0.7% rise in April.
The monthly rise was mainly driven by an increase in communications, which climbed 2.4% in May.
On a yearly basis, consumer prices fell by 1.0% in May from a year ago, in line with preliminary reading, after a 1.1% decline in April.
The annual decline was mainly driven by a drop in the prices of housing and transport.
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) released the consumer price inflation data for the U.K. on Tuesday. The U.K. consumer price index remained unchanged at 0.3% year-on-year in May. Analysts had expected to rise to 0.4%.
The increase was mainly driven by rises in transport costs, restaurant and hotel bills and the price of telecommunication services.
On a monthly basis, U.K. consumer prices increased 0.2% in May, missing expectations for a 0.3% gain, after a 0.1% rise in April.
Consumer price inflation excluding food, energy, alcohol and tobacco prices remained unchanged at 1.2% year-on-year in May, missing expectations for an increase to 1.3%.
The Retail Prices Index increased to 1.4% year-on-year in May from 1.3% in April, in line with expectations.
The consumer price inflation is below the Bank of England's 2% target.
The Federal Statistical Office released its producer and import prices data on Tuesday. Switzerland's producer and import prices rose 0.4% in May, beating expectations for a 0.1% gain, after a 0.3% increase in April.
The rise was driven by higher prices for scrap and petroleum products.
The Import Price Index increased 0.4% in May, while producer prices rose 0.4%.
On a yearly basis, producer and import prices plunged 1.2% in May, beating expectations for a 1.5% fall, after a 2.4% drop in April.
The Import Price Index fell by 2.8% year-on year in May, while producer prices dropped 0.5%.
Eurostat released its employment growth data for the Eurozone on Tuesday. Eurozone's employment increased by 0.3% in the first quarter, after a 0.3% rise in the fourth quarter.
Main contributors were Ireland (+0.7%), Spain and Luxembourg (all +0.8%).
On a yearly basis, employment in the Eurozone increased by 1.4% in the first quarter, after a 1.2% gain in the fourth quarter.
Eurostat released its industrial production data for the Eurozone on Tuesday. Industrial production in the Eurozone climbed 1.1% in April, exceeding expectations for a 0.8% gain, after a 0.7% drop in March. March's figure was revised up from a 0.8% decrease.
Non-durable consumer goods output jumped 1.6% in April, capital goods output increased 1.9%, while energy output rose 0.3%.
Intermediate goods output was up 0.4% in April, while durable consumer goods rose 2.3%.
On a yearly basis, Eurozone's industrial production rise 2.0% in April, beating expectations for a 1.4% rise, after a 0.2% increase in March.
Durable consumer goods climbed by 1.5% in April from a year ago, capital goods rose by 3.8%, non-durable consumer goods were up by 0.4%, while intermediate goods output increased by 1.5%.
Energy output rose by 1.3% in April from a year ago.
The National Australia Bank (NAB) released its business confidence index for Australia on Tuesday. The index fell to 3 points in May from 5 points in April.
"The Survey is suggesting further improvement for the non-mining sectors going into Q2, with some evidence that growth is becoming more broad-based," NAB Group Chief Economist Alan Oster said.
The main business conditions index remained unchanged at 10 points in May, while employment declined to 1 point from 4 points.
Japan's Finance Minister Taro Aso said on Tuesday that the country's government would prevent further "speculation-driven" gains in the yen. He added that the government was ready to act if needed.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) said in its report on Monday that Canada's economy was adjusting well to lower oil prices. The lender expects the economy to expand 1.7% in 2016 and 2.2% in 2017.
"A supportive monetary policy and exchange rate depreciation have helped cushion the effects of the oil shock," the IMF said.
WIG20 index opened at 1777.15 points (-0.16%)*
WIG 45007.47 -0.24%
WIG30 1976.46 -0.28%
mWIG40 3442.63 -0.30%
*/ - change to previous close
Europe has started from light falls, which include sell-off in the US and deterioration in sentiment signaled by the appreciation of the yen against the dollar and the weakening of the euro against the dollar. Also weakens the zloty, so the atmosphere is not conducive for the bulls in Warsaw and after first transactions the WIG20 lost 0.7 percent. The decline does not negate yesterday's rebound from the region in 1,750 pts., but also indicates that the market is closer the to stabilize at current levels than to ending the decline of the last three sessions.
The first session of the week on Wall Street ended with solidarity decline in the major indexes, which gave up 0.7 to 0.9 percent. The main reason was a mix of concerns about the outcome of the referendum on Brexit and growing uncertainty about the Wednesday statement of the Federal Open Market Committee ( FOMC). The German DAX yesterday lost 1.8 percent and close at session minimums.
Contracts on the S&P500 are currently traded at a slight positive territory (+0.10%).
Macro calendar will bring today important readings from Europe - industrial production - and from the US - retail sales and data on international trade. The reports should have an impact on the relationship between the dollar and the euro, so indirectly also on the condition of the zloty pairs - USDPLN and EURPLN. The WIG20 sensitivity on the strength or weakness of the Polish currency is known, so at the time of publication data, we may expect some changes also on the Warsaw Stock Exchange.
On the Warsaw market the third day of declines of the WIG20 merged with defense support levels at around 1,750 points. Perhaps today's session does not answer the question about the future direction, because in all markets is seen waiting for Wednesday's FOMC Statement, but by the end of the week we may receive signals indicating the superiority of one of the parties.
European stocks dropped to their lowest in more than three months Monday, with bank shares among decliners as investors faced heightened concerns about the Brexit vote on whether the U.K. should cut ties with the European Union.
The moves on European markets followed sharp losses across Asian stocks, with sent Japan's Nikkei Average NIK, -1.45% tumbling by 3.5%.
U.S. stocks fell for a third straight session Monday, with the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average finishing at their lowest close since May 24 as investors turned increasingly jittery ahead of a Federal Reserve policy meeting and a looming vote on the U.K.'s membership in the European Union.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, -0.74% shed 132.86 points, or 0.7%, to end at 17,732.48, while the S&P 500 SPX, -0.81% slid 17.01 points, or 0.8%, to finish at 2,079.06. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite COMP, -0.94% was down 46.11 points, or 0.9%, to close at 4,848.44, its lowest finish since May 23.
Asian stocks slipped on Tuesday ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve's two-day meeting that begins later in the day, amid growing worries this month's referendum in Britain could see it exit the European Union.
Uncertainty over this week's Federal Reserve policy meeting has weighed on markets, though the U.S. central bank is widely expected to leave rates unchanged after the much weaker-than-expected May nonfarm payrolls report.
The Bank of England, Swiss National Bank and the Bank of Japan will also meet this week, and are similarly expected to stand pat on policy with the Brexit vote looming.
(index / closing price / change items /% change)
Nikkei 225 16,019.18 -582.18 -3.51 %
Hang Seng 20,512.99 -529.65 -2.52 %
Shanghai Composite 2,832.51 -94.65 -3.23 %
FTSE 100 6,044.97 -70.79 -1.16 %
CAC 40 4,227.02 -79.70 -1.85 %
Xetra DAX 9,657.44 -177.18 -1.80 %
S&P 500 2,079.06 -17.01 -0.81 %
NASDAQ Composite 4,848.44 -46.11 -0.94 %
Dow Jones 17,732.48 -132.86 -0.74 %